Grading ontological links based on certainty of evidential statements

ABSTRACT

Mechanisms for evaluating a link between information concept entities are provided. A set of evidential data specifying a plurality of information concept entities is received and a link between at least two information concept entities in the set of evidential data is generated. The set of evidential data is evaluated with regard to whether or not the set of evidential data supports or refutes the link. The evaluation of the set of evidential data comprises analyzing language of natural language statements in the set of evidential data to identify certainty terms within the natural language statements. A confidence value for the link is calculated based on results of the evaluation of the set of evidential data and a knowledge output is generated based on the link and the confidence value associated with the link.

BACKGROUND

The present application relates generally to an improved data processingapparatus and method and more specifically to mechanisms for gradingontological links based on certainty of evidential statements.

With the increased usage of computing networks, such as the Internet,humans are currently inundated and overwhelmed with the amount ofinformation available to them from various structured and unstructuredsources. However, information gaps abound as users try to piece togetherwhat they can find that they believe to be relevant during searches forinformation on various subjects. To assist with such searches, recentresearch has been directed to generating Question and Answer (QA)systems which may take an input question, analyze it, and return resultsindicative of the most probable answer to the input question. QA systemsprovide automated mechanisms for searching through large sets of sourcesof content, e.g., electronic documents, and analyze them with regard toan input question to determine an answer to the question and aconfidence measure as to how accurate an answer is for answering theinput question.

Examples, of QA systems are Siri® from Apple®, Cortana® from Microsoft®,and the Watson™ system available from International Business Machines(IBM®) Corporation of Armonk, N.Y. The Watson™ system is an applicationof advanced natural language processing, information retrieval,knowledge representation and reasoning, and machine learningtechnologies to the field of open domain question answering. The Watson™system is built on IBM's DeepQA™ technology used for hypothesisgeneration, massive evidence gathering, analysis, and scoring. DeepQA™takes an input question, analyzes it, decomposes the question intoconstituent parts, generates one or more hypothesis based on thedecomposed question and results of a primary search of answer sources,performs hypothesis and evidence scoring based on a retrieval ofevidence from evidence sources, performs synthesis of the one or morehypothesis, and based on trained models, performs a final merging andranking to output an answer to the input question along with aconfidence measure.

SUMMARY

In one illustrative embodiment a method, in a data processing system,for evaluating a link between information concept entities is provided.The method comprises receiving, by the data processing system, a set ofevidential data specifying a plurality of information concept entitiesand generating, by the data processing system, a link between at leasttwo information concept entities in the set of evidential data. Themethod further comprises evaluating, by the data processing system, theset of evidential data with regard to whether or not the set ofevidential data supports or refutes the link. The evaluation of the setof evidential data comprises analyzing language of natural languagestatements in the set of evidential data to identify certainty termswithin the natural language statements. In addition, the methodcomprises calculating, by the data processing system, a confidence valuefor the link based on results of the evaluation of the set of evidentialdata and generating a knowledge output, by the data processing system,based on the link and the confidence value associated with the link.

In other illustrative embodiments, a computer program product comprisinga computer useable or readable medium having a computer readable programis provided. The computer readable program, when executed on a computingdevice, causes the computing device to perform various ones of, andcombinations of, the operations outlined above with regard to the methodillustrative embodiment.

In yet another illustrative embodiment, a system/apparatus is provided.The system/apparatus may comprise one or more processors and a memorycoupled to the one or more processors. The memory may compriseinstructions which, when executed by the one or more processors, causethe one or more processors to perform various ones of, and combinationsof, the operations outlined above with regard to the method illustrativeembodiment.

These and other features and advantages of the present invention will bedescribed in, or will become apparent to those of ordinary skill in theart in view of, the following detailed description of the exampleembodiments of the present invention.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE SEVERAL VIEWS OF THE DRAWINGS

The invention, as well as a preferred mode of use and further objectivesand advantages thereof, will best be understood by reference to thefollowing detailed description of illustrative embodiments when read inconjunction with the accompanying drawings, wherein:

FIG. 1 depicts a schematic diagram of one illustrative embodiment of aquestion/answer creation (QA) system in a computer network;

FIG. 2 is a block diagram of an example data processing system in whichaspects of the illustrative embodiments are implemented;

FIG. 3 illustrates a QA system pipeline for processing an input questionin accordance with one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 4 is an example block diagram illustrating the primary operationalelements of a hypothetical ontological link identification andevaluation engine in accordance with one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 5 shows an example of hypothetical ontological link questiongeneration with regard to an information concept of a person inaccordance with one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 6 shows an example of hypothetical ontological link questiongeneration with regard to a location information concept in accordancewith one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 7 is an example diagram illustrating a graphical representation ofa simplified ontology having actual links between information conceptsand a hypothetical ontological link for investigation by the mechanismsof the illustrative embodiments;

FIG. 8 is an example diagram illustrating the example simplifiedontology of FIG. 7 with scoring of the hypothetical ontological link inaccordance with one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 9 is an example diagram illustrating a graphical output of amodified ontology generated in response to the scoring of thehypothetical ontological link in accordance with one illustrativeembodiment;

FIG. 10 is an example diagram illustrating an example scenario forevaluating various characteristics of links for categorizing a linkhypothetical ontological link between information concept entities;

FIG. 11 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for identifyingand evaluating hypothetical ontological links in an ontology inaccordance with one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 12 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for scoring linksbased on source grading, corroboration, and certainty in accordance withone illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 13 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingquestion template set pruning in accordance with one illustrativeembodiment;

FIG. 14 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingsource grading in accordance with one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 15 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingcorroboration scoring in accordance with one illustrative embodiment;

FIG. 16 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingcertainty scoring in accordance with one illustrative embodiment; and

FIG. 17 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingadditional lines of questioning evaluations in accordance with oneillustrative embodiment.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION

The illustrative embodiments provide mechanisms for intelligencegathering and analysis using a Question Answering (QA) system.Intelligence gathering and analysis tasks often center aroundidentifying and evaluating correspondence between instances of concepts,such as people, places, events, property, etc. described in an ontologyusing information obtained from various data sources. For example,intelligence gathering and analysis tasks may attempt to determinewhether a person A knows a person B, whether person A was involved inevent C, or the like. Generally, such intelligence gathering andanalysis may have assistance from computing systems to assist in thegathering and analysis operations, but the determination of theontological relationships between concepts is still much a manualprocess requiring human intervention to generate such ontologicalrelationships. This can be time consuming and haphazard since the humananalyst must first identify possible ontological relationships and thensift through information and find evidence that supports or refutes theontological relationships.

For example, assume that a human analyst is investigating a crime and isbuilding a profile of the crime which involves identifying a number ofinformation concepts (also referred to herein simply as “concepts”)including suspects, a witness, and an incident, e.g., a robbery atlocation A. In order to build this profile and investigate the crime,the analyst first acquires and enters the information about theseinformation concepts, along with any known correlations between theseinformation concepts, into a database. The analyst now askshimself/herself a number of questions about additional links such as:

-   -   1) Does the suspect know the witness?    -   2) Was the suspect involved in other similar incidents in the        past?    -   3) Does the suspect have accomplices?    -   4) Has the witness witnessed similar incidents in the past?        In order to answer such questions, the human analyst must search        information sources, read and appraise the content of the        information sources to identify evidence, evaluate the evidence        to determine its veracity, gather additional evidence from        individuals directly, from locations directly, or the like, to        answer these questions. It can be seen that this would be a time        consuming process that often times requires a degree of        expertise in intelligence gathering and analysis to know the        correct questions to ask and the ways in which to gather and        analyze the information to answer these questions.

The illustrative embodiments provide mechanisms for automaticallyidentifying hypothetical ontological relationships between informationconcepts based on automated analysis of evidential support for thesehypothetical ontological relationships found in association withexisting actual ontological relationships and information concepts.These ontological relationships are hypothetical in nature in that thereis no direct evidence explicitly specifying the ontological relationshipexists in the ontology. For example, there may not be any directevidence that suspect A knows suspect B, but there may be circumstantialor indirect evidence that supports this hypothetical ontologicalrelationship that suspect A knows suspect B. However, there may beevidence that suspect A knows suspect C, suspect B knows suspect D, andsuspect D has been seen in the company of suspect C at the samelocation. From this circumstantial evidence, one may determine thatsuspect D and suspect C know each other and since suspect D knowssuspect B and suspect A knows suspect C, there is some amount ofevidence that gives a probability that suspect A may know suspect B. Byidentifying possible hypothetical ontological relationships, themechanisms of the illustrative embodiment assist the human analyst whomay not have identified those possible relationships and may inform theanalyst of other, previously not thought of, hypothesis about thesituation being analyzed.

In identifying hypothetical ontological relationships between instancesof defined information concepts, the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments may determine, from an initial set of valid ontologicalrelationships or links between specified instances of informationconcepts (e.g., people, places, things, events, etc.), the hypotheticalontological relationships (or links) that are to be investigated, e.g.,for either all instances or chosen instances of information conceptobject (also referred to as entities herein), potential hypotheticalrelationships are identified using the defined ontology. Havingidentified a hypothetical ontological relationship to investigate,through analysis of other evidence associated with the various instancesof information concepts and specifying various other types ofontological relationships between the instances of information concepts,indirect or inferential evidential support (e.g., circumstantialevidence) for the hypothetical ontological relationship is identifiedand evaluated. Based on such identification and evaluation of indirector inferential support, one or more scores or measures of confidence inthe hypothetical ontological relationship are calculated. These scoresmay then be used to evaluate whether or not the hypothetical ontologicalrelationship is likely to be an actual ontological relationship and acorresponding output to the human analyst is generated.

The mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may be implemented, forexample, in a question answering (QA) system, such as the IBM Watson™ QAsystem available from International Business Machines (IBM) Corporationof Armonk, N.Y. In such an embodiment, the QA system is configured toimplement the intelligence gathering and analysis mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments so as to identify and evaluate hypotheticalontological relationships or links between instances of pre-definedinformation concepts (persons, places, things, events, etc.) in anontology. With the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments, instancesof information concepts are designated and then, based on a set of validontological relationships or links in an ontology, a set of questionsrelated to hypothetical ontological relationships between instances ofinformation concepts are generated and processed via the QA system. Thisset of questions may be determined based on an initial user input intothe QA system designating the one or more instances of informationconcepts of interest and a particular type of hypothetical ontologicalrelationship that is to be evaluated, e.g., does person A know person B?Alternatively, the hypothetical ontological relationship and instancesof information concepts of interest may be automatically identified froman analysis of an ontology and determination of possible hypotheticalrelationships between instances of information concepts specified in theontology, e.g., identifying instances of information concepts that donot have actual ontological relationships and, based on types of theinstances of information concepts and actual links of the instances ofinformation concepts with other instances of information concepts, andthe types of these links, what other types of ontological links arelikely to be present even though they are not explicitly included in theexisting ontology.

The set of questions for investigating the hypothetical ontologicalrelationship may be chosen based on the information concept type(s),ontological relationship type (link type), and the like. The questionsmay be selected by an automated engine that has been trained usingmachine learning techniques to identify the type of questions to beasked when the ontological relationship being investigated involvescertain information concept types and link types, e.g., for informationconcepts of a “person” type and a link type of “knows” a set ofquestions is selected that includes the questions, is person A relatedto person B? does person A work with person B? does person A live closeto person B? did person A go to a same school as person B?, etc. In sucha machine learning technique, an initial set of questions for aparticular combination of information concept type and link type may beset manually and may be evaluated over time through automated mechanismsto add to or remove questions from the set based on user feedback,identification of a particular question's relative contribution to ahigher or lower score for a hypothetical ontological relationship, etc.These questions may be formulated as a set of templates that may becustomized to the particular information concepts of interest, e.g., atemplate of “Does Person A live with Person B?” may be customized to“Does John Smith live with Mary Stewart?”

It should be appreciated that in this situation, the human analyst needonly input or select the instances of information concepts of interest(hereafter referred to simply as “information concepts”) and an overalltheory or ontological relationship that the analyst wishes to evaluate,e.g., “John Smith (information concept A—person) committed (ontologicalrelationship) the robbery (information concept B—event) of Al'sElectronics (information concept C—location)” or more simply “John Smith(information concept A) knows (ontological relationship) Mary Stewart(information concept B).” In other illustrative embodiments, a more openended intelligence gathering approach is facilitated where the humananalyst need only specify an information concept of interest and ask thesystem to identify all ontological relationships of a particular typewith this information concept, e.g., “I want to know all of John Smith's(information concept) acquaintances (ontological relationship).” Basedon the specification of an information concept and a hypotheticalontological relationship type, the system automatically retrieves theset of questions (and templates) corresponding to that informationconcept type and hypothetical ontological relationship type, andevaluates the questions via the QA system.

In some illustrative embodiments, mechanisms are provided for pruningthe set of questions, or question templates, that are retrieved for usein evaluating a hypothetical ontological link between informationconcepts. This pruning serves to take a set of questions or questiontemplates and filter these to a sub-set of questions or questiontemplates based on the characteristics of the particular instances ofinformation concepts and hypothetical ontological link being evaluated.For example, a general set of question templates for a hypotheticalontological link of “located at” and information concepts of “person”and “location” may be retrieved. This general set of question templatesmay then be further pruned or filtered to a specific sub-set of questiontemplates using characteristics for a particular “person” and “location”and category of “located at” hypothetical ontological link, e.g. “JohnJones” “frequents” “Al's Electronics.” For example, knowing that Al'sElectronics is a retail electronics store, it may be time consuming andof little benefit to evaluate questions about whether or not John Joneshas lunch at Al's Electronics but it would be more poignant to askwhether John Jones has bought items at Al's Electronics. Thus, the “eatsat” question may be filtered from the set of question templates whilethe “has bought items at” question would be included in the sub-set ofquestion templates. Various characteristics of the information conceptsand hypothetical ontological link may be compared against correspondingcharacteristics associated with the different question templates tothereby identify which question templates are most appropriate for theparticular instances of information concepts and hypotheticalontological link to thereby generate a sub-set of question templates forevaluation.

In evaluating the automatically generated set of questions, or sub-setof questions, the QA system analyzes one or more corpora of evidentialdata to generate candidate answers to the question and identifiesevidence supporting and/or refuting the hypothetical ontologicalrelationship (hereafter referred to as “hypothetical links”) betweeninformation concepts corresponding to the question being answered. Forexample, if the question is whether person A knows person B, thenevidence from the corpora may be evaluated to determine a confidenceassociated with an answer of “yes” person A knows person B, and evidenceto determine a confidence associated with an answer of “no” person Adoes not know person B. The results of these evaluations of the corpusof evidence to support/refute different hypothetical links may be usedto update the ontology to replace hypothetical links with actual linkswhen the confidence of an answer meets or exceeds a predeterminedcriterion.

In evaluating the evidence in the corpora, various aspects of theevidence may be evaluated to generate a confidence score for an answerto the question and ultimately, a score for the hypothetical ontologicallink. For example, the source of the evidence may be graded with regardto the veracity of the source with subsequent curating of the evidencein the corpora based on an evaluation of the source's veracity. Inevaluating the veracity of a source, corroborating evidence from othersources may be used to elevate a grading of the source. Correspondenceof language in statements from the source with statements made by othersources may be used to increase/decrease the grading of the source,e.g., if the statements are exactly the same or primarily the same, asdetermined from a threshold level of sameness, then it is likely thatthe statements are copies of an original statement or indicative of acollaboration of the sources giving the source a lower grading ofveracity. Previous use of the source to generate correct answers toquestions may also be determined, such as through a machine learningprocess, and used to evaluate the source of evidence. User specifiedinput indicative of whether the user trusts the source of the evidencemay also be used to grade the source. Characteristics of the type of thesource may also be used to grade the source, e.g., a police person maybe given a higher grading than a felon. Various weight values may beassociated with these different source grading characteristics togenerate a value indicative of the grading of the source with regard tothe source's veracity that can be attributed to the evidence provided bythat source.

Based on the grading of a source, the corpora used to evaluatehypothetical ontological links may be managed so as to remove sources ofevidence in the corpora whose grading does not meet a minimum acceptablelevel and/or to adjust the weighting values associated with a sourcebased on a determined grading of the source. Thus, for sources whosegrade is relatively higher, a weighting value for those sources will berelatively higher compared to other sources in the corpora to therebyprovide a relatively higher measure of reliability and confidence in theevidence provided by those sources. Moreover, for higher graded sources,such as sources that exceed a predetermined threshold of reliability,additional evidence from those sources may be actively sought and addedto the corpora for use in evaluation hypothetical ontological links andsets of questions. For example, if a source, such as a particularwitness, is determined to be highly reliable, additional evidence fromthat witness may be ingested into the corpora being used to evaluate thehypothetical ontological link.

Sources whose grade is relatively lower will have a weighting value thatis relatively lower leading to a lower measure of reliability andconfidence in the evidence provided by those sources. Sources whosegrade does not meet a minimum threshold level may have all of theevidence provided by those sources removed from the corpora such that itis not used to evaluate questions and provide supporting evidence forcalculating confidence scores in answers to questions. It should beappreciated that such corpora management or curating operations may beperformed on a temporary basis, e.g., for one hypothetical ontologicallink evaluation or set of questions being evaluated, or may be performedon a permanent basis, e.g., for a plurality of hypothetical ontologicallink evaluations and multiple sets of questions being evaluated.

As mentioned above, in grading the source of evidence in the corpora,corroborating evidence may be used as one measure of the veracity of thesource. Corroborating evidence may also be used when generating theconfidence score for a particular answer to a question in the set ofquestions, or sub-set of questions. That is, if two statements are madeby two different sources and these statements corroborate one another,then the evidence provided by these statements tends to be more reliableand a relative scoring or weighting of the score associated with theevidence may be increased. Negative corroboration may also be evaluatedwhere two statements directly contradict one another in which case thescoring or relative weighting of the evidence provided by thecontradictory statements is reduced. Of course other factors may add toor detract from this level of corroboration including the grading of thesources of the statements as well as the level of direct correspondenceof the language used in these statements. Moreover, the definiteness orcertainness of the language used in the statements may also be used toevaluate the level of corroboration.

All of these factors, or a subset comprising one or more of thesefactors, may be used to evaluate evidence in support of, or against, aparticular answer to a question being correct or not. This scoring ofconfidence in an answer to a question may be used to generate aconfidence score for a particular hypothetical ontological link or, asdiscussed in greater detail hereafter, a sub-link that is one part ofthe hypothetical ontological link. As discussed hereafter, multiple suchscores, associated with multiple heterogeneous sub-links, may beaggregated to generate a score for the hypothetical ontological link asa whole. This aggregation may likewise be weighted with different scoresfor different types of sub-links being weighted differently.

As a result of the scoring of the hypothetical ontological link usingthe mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments, the hypotheticalontological link may have its status upgraded to an actual link withinthe ontology. That is, if the score for the hypothetical ontologicallink meets or exceeds a predetermined threshold for inclusion in theontology as an actual link, then the ontology may be modified to includethe hypothetical ontological link as an actual link. This may in turncause an automated identification of additional hypothetical ontologicallinks and corresponding sets of questions for evaluation, i.e.additional lines of questioning. Thus, not only do the mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments evaluate hypothetical ontological links thatare either automatically identified by the mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments or specified by a user, the mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments further determine additional hypotheticalontological links and lines of questions to be evaluated. A notificationof these additional hypothetical ontological links and lines ofquestions may be provided to a user for selection of which ones the userwishes to pursue.

Before beginning the discussion of the various aspects of theillustrative embodiments in more detail, it should first be appreciatedthat throughout this description the term “mechanism” will be used torefer to elements of the present invention that perform variousoperations, functions, and the like. A “mechanism,” as the term is usedherein, may be an implementation of the functions or aspects of theillustrative embodiments in the form of an apparatus, a procedure, or acomputer program product. In the case of a procedure, the procedure isimplemented by one or more devices, apparatus, computers, dataprocessing systems, or the like. In the case of a computer programproduct, the logic represented by computer code or instructions embodiedin or on the computer program product is executed by one or morehardware devices in order to implement the functionality or perform theoperations associated with the specific “mechanism.” Thus, themechanisms described herein may be implemented as specialized hardware,software executing on general purpose hardware, software instructionsstored on a medium such that the instructions are readily executable byspecialized or general purpose hardware, a procedure or method forexecuting the functions, or a combination of any of the above.

The present description and claims may make use of the terms “a”, “atleast one of”, and “one or more of” with regard to particular featuresand elements of the illustrative embodiments. It should be appreciatedthat these terms and phrases are intended to state that there is atleast one of the particular feature or element present in the particularillustrative embodiment, but that more than one can also be present.That is, these terms/phrases are not intended to limit the descriptionor claims to a single feature/element being present or require that aplurality of such features/elements be present. To the contrary, theseterms/phrases only require at least a single feature/element with thepossibility of a plurality of such features/elements being within thescope of the description and claims.

In addition, it should be appreciated that the following descriptionuses a plurality of various examples for various elements of theillustrative embodiments to further illustrate example implementationsof the illustrative embodiments and to aid in the understanding of themechanisms of the illustrative embodiments. These examples are intendedto be non-limiting and are not exhaustive of the various possibilitiesfor implementing the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments. It willbe apparent to those of ordinary skill in the art in view of the presentdescription that there are many other alternative implementations forthese various elements that may be utilized in addition to, or inreplacement of, the examples provided herein without departing from thespirit and scope of the present invention.

The present invention may be a system, a method, and/or a computerprogram product. The computer program product may include a computerreadable storage medium (or media) having computer readable programinstructions thereon for causing a processor to carry out aspects of thepresent invention.

The computer readable storage medium can be a tangible device that canretain and store instructions for use by an instruction executiondevice. The computer readable storage medium may be, for example, but isnot limited to, an electronic storage device, a magnetic storage device,an optical storage device, an electromagnetic storage device, asemiconductor storage device, or any suitable combination of theforegoing. A non-exhaustive list of more specific examples of thecomputer readable storage medium includes the following: a portablecomputer diskette, a hard disk, a random access memory (RAM), aread-only memory (ROM), an erasable programmable read-only memory (EPROMor Flash memory), a static random access memory (SRAM), a portablecompact disc read-only memory (CD-ROM), a digital versatile disk (DVD),a memory stick, a floppy disk, a mechanically encoded device such aspunch-cards or raised structures in a groove having instructionsrecorded thereon, and any suitable combination of the foregoing. Acomputer readable storage medium, as used herein, is not to be construedas being transitory signals per se, such as radio waves or other freelypropagating electromagnetic waves, electromagnetic waves propagatingthrough a waveguide or other transmission media (e.g., light pulsespassing through a fiber-optic cable), or electrical signals transmittedthrough a wire.

Computer readable program instructions described herein can bedownloaded to respective computing/processing devices from a computerreadable storage medium or to an external computer or external storagedevice via a network, for example, the Internet, a local area network, awide area network and/or a wireless network. The network may comprisecopper transmission cables, optical transmission fibers, wirelesstransmission, routers, firewalls, switches, gateway computers and/oredge servers. A network adapter card or network interface in eachcomputing/processing device receives computer readable programinstructions from the network and forwards the computer readable programinstructions for storage in a computer readable storage medium withinthe respective computing/processing device.

Computer readable program instructions for carrying out operations ofthe present invention may be assembler instructions,instruction-set-architecture (ISA) instructions, machine instructions,machine dependent instructions, microcode, firmware instructions,state-setting data, or either source code or object code written in anycombination of one or more programming languages, including an objectoriented programming language such as Java, Smalltalk, C++ or the like,and conventional procedural programming languages, such as the “C”programming language or similar programming languages. The computerreadable program instructions may execute entirely on the user'scomputer, partly on the user's computer, as a stand-alone softwarepackage, partly on the user's computer and partly on a remote computeror entirely on the remote computer or server. In the latter scenario,the remote computer may be connected to the user's computer through anytype of network, including a local area network (LAN) or a wide areanetwork (WAN), or the connection may be made to an external computer(for example, through the Internet using an Internet Service Provider).In some embodiments, electronic circuitry including, for example,programmable logic circuitry, field-programmable gate arrays (FPGA), orprogrammable logic arrays (PLA) may execute the computer readableprogram instructions by utilizing state information of the computerreadable program instructions to personalize the electronic circuitry,in order to perform aspects of the present invention.

Aspects of the present invention are described herein with reference toflowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams of methods, apparatus(systems), and computer program products according to embodiments of theinvention. It will be understood that each block of the flowchartillustrations and/or block diagrams, and combinations of blocks in theflowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams, can be implemented bycomputer readable program instructions.

These computer readable program instructions may be provided to aprocessor of a general purpose computer, special purpose computer, orother programmable data processing apparatus to produce a machine, suchthat the instructions, which execute via the processor of the computeror other programmable data processing apparatus, create means forimplementing the functions/acts specified in the flowchart and/or blockdiagram block or blocks. These computer readable program instructionsmay also be stored in a computer readable storage medium that can directa computer, a programmable data processing apparatus, and/or otherdevices to function in a particular manner, such that the computerreadable storage medium having instructions stored therein comprises anarticle of manufacture including instructions which implement aspects ofthe function/act specified in the flowchart and/or block diagram blockor blocks.

The computer readable program instructions may also be loaded onto acomputer, other programmable data processing apparatus, or other deviceto cause a series of operational steps to be performed on the computer,other programmable apparatus or other device to produce a computerimplemented process, such that the instructions which execute on thecomputer, other programmable apparatus, or other device implement thefunctions/acts specified in the flowchart and/or block diagram block orblocks.

The flowchart and block diagrams in the Figures illustrate thearchitecture, functionality, and operation of possible implementationsof systems, methods, and computer program products according to variousembodiments of the present invention. In this regard, each block in theflowchart or block diagrams may represent a module, segment, or portionof instructions, which comprises one or more executable instructions forimplementing the specified logical function(s). In some alternativeimplementations, the functions noted in the block may occur out of theorder noted in the figures. For example, two blocks shown in successionmay, in fact, be executed substantially concurrently, or the blocks maysometimes be executed in the reverse order, depending upon thefunctionality involved. It will also be noted that each block of theblock diagrams and/or flowchart illustration, and combinations of blocksin the block diagrams and/or flowchart illustration, can be implementedby special purpose hardware-based systems that perform the specifiedfunctions or acts or carry out combinations of special purpose hardwareand computer instructions.

The illustrative embodiments may be utilized in many different types ofdata processing environments. For purposes of the following descriptionof illustrative embodiments, it will be assumed that the data processingenvironment used to implement the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments, or with which the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments are associated, is a Question Answering (QA) data processingsystem environment with the question answering logic being provided viaa trained QA system, such as the IBM Watson™ QA system available fromIBM Corporation of Armonk, N.Y. While a QA system will be used as anexample for describing the illustrative embodiments, it should beappreciated that any knowledge system which operates on a corpus ofevidence to support/refute ontological relationships between informationconcepts in an ontology may be used without departing from the spiritand scope of the illustrative embodiments. Moreover, it should beappreciated that the following description of a QA system is onlyintended to present examples and is not intended to assert or imply anylimitation with regard to the environments in which aspects orembodiments of the present invention may be implemented. Manymodifications to the depicted environments may be made without departingfrom the spirit and scope of the present invention.

FIGS. 1-3 are directed to describing an example Question Answering (QA)system (also referred to as a Question/Answer system or Question andAnswer system), methodology, and computer program product with which themechanisms of the illustrative embodiments are implemented. As will bediscussed in greater detail hereafter, the illustrative embodiments areintegrated in, augment, and extend the functionality of these QAmechanisms with regard to identifying hypothetical links betweeninformation concepts within an ontology, evaluating those hypotheticallinks between information concepts with regard to supporting evidencefrom one or more corpora, and generating an output of the results ofsuch evaluations so as to inform a user of potential links betweeninformation concepts and/or updates to the ontology.

Thus, it is important to first have an understanding of how question andanswer creation in a QA system is implemented before describing how themechanisms of the illustrative embodiments are integrated in and augmentsuch QA systems. It should be appreciated that the QA mechanismsdescribed in FIGS. 1-3 are only examples and are not intended to stateor imply any limitation with regard to the type of QA mechanisms withwhich the illustrative embodiments are implemented. Many modificationsto the example QA system shown in FIGS. 1-3 may be implemented invarious embodiments of the present invention without departing from thespirit and scope of the present invention.

As an overview, a Question Answering system (QA system) is an artificialintelligence application executing on data processing hardware thatanswers questions pertaining to a given subject-matter domain presentedin natural language. The QA system receives inputs from various sourcesincluding input over a network, a corpus of electronic documents orother data, data from a content creator, information from one or morecontent users, and other such inputs from other possible sources ofinput. Data storage devices store the corpus of data. A content creatorcreates content in a document for use as part of a corpus of data withthe QA system. The document may include any file, text, article, orsource of data for use in the QA system. For example, a QA systemaccesses a body of knowledge about the domain, or subject matter area,e.g., financial domain, medical domain, legal domain, etc., where thebody of knowledge (knowledgebase) can be organized in a variety ofconfigurations, e.g., a structured repository of domain-specificinformation, such as ontologies, or unstructured data related to thedomain, or a collection of natural language documents about the domain.

Content users input questions to the QA system which then answers theinput questions using the content in the corpus of data by evaluatingdocuments, sections of documents, portions of data in the corpus, or thelike. When a process evaluates a given section of a document forsemantic content, the process can use a variety of conventions to querysuch document from the QA system, e.g., sending the query to the QAsystem as a well-formed question which is then interpreted by the QAsystem and a response is provided containing one or more answers to thequestion. Semantic content is content based on the relation betweensignifiers, such as words, phrases, signs, and symbols, and what theystand for, their denotation, or connotation. In other words, semanticcontent is content that interprets an expression, such as by usingNatural Language Processing.

As will be described in greater detail hereafter, the QA system receivesan input question, parses the question to extract the major features ofthe question, uses the extracted features to formulate queries, and thenapplies those queries to the corpus of data. Based on the application ofthe queries to the corpus of data, the QA system generates a set ofhypotheses, or candidate answers to the input question, by lookingacross the corpus of data for portions of the corpus of data that havesome potential for containing a valuable response to the input question.The QA system then performs deep analysis on the language of the inputquestion and the language used in each of the portions of the corpus ofdata found during the application of the queries using a variety ofreasoning algorithms. There may be hundreds or even thousands ofreasoning algorithms applied, each of which performs different analysis,e.g., comparisons, natural language analysis, lexical analysis, or thelike, and generates a score. For example, some reasoning algorithms maylook at the matching of terms and synonyms within the language of theinput question and the found portions of the corpus of data. Otherreasoning algorithms may look at temporal or spatial features in thelanguage, while others may evaluate the source of the portion of thecorpus of data and evaluate its veracity.

The scores obtained from the various reasoning algorithms indicate theextent to which the potential response is inferred by the input questionbased on the specific area of focus of that reasoning algorithm. Eachresulting score is then weighted against a statistical model. Thestatistical model captures how well the reasoning algorithm performed atestablishing the inference between two similar passages for a particulardomain during the training period of the QA system. The statisticalmodel is used to summarize a level of confidence that the QA system hasregarding the evidence that the potential response, i.e. candidateanswer, is inferred by the question. This process is repeated for eachof the candidate answers until the QA system identifies candidateanswers that surface as being significantly stronger than others andthus, generates a final answer, or ranked set of answers, for the inputquestion.

As mentioned above, QA systems and mechanisms operate by accessinginformation from a corpus of data or information (also referred to as acorpus of content), analyzing it, and then generating answer resultsbased on the analysis of this data. Accessing information from a corpusof data typically includes: a database query that answers questionsabout what is in a collection of structured records, and a search thatdelivers a collection of document links in response to a query against acollection of unstructured data (text, markup language, etc.).Conventional question answering systems are capable of generatinganswers based on the corpus of data and the input question, verifyinganswers to a collection of questions for the corpus of data, correctingerrors in digital text using a corpus of data, and selecting answers toquestions from a pool of potential answers, i.e. candidate answers.

Content creators, such as article authors, electronic document creators,web page authors, document database creators, and the like, determineuse cases for products, solutions, and services described in suchcontent before writing their content. Consequently, the content creatorsknow what questions the content is intended to answer in a particulartopic addressed by the content. Categorizing the questions, such as interms of roles, type of information, tasks, or the like, associated withthe question, in each document of a corpus of data allows the QA systemto more quickly and efficiently identify documents containing contentrelated to a specific query. The content may also answer other questionsthat the content creator did not contemplate that may be useful tocontent users. The questions and answers may be verified by the contentcreator to be contained in the content for a given document. Thesecapabilities contribute to improved accuracy, system performance,machine learning, and confidence of the QA system. Content creators,automated tools, or the like, annotate or otherwise generate metadatafor providing information useable by the QA system to identify thesequestion and answer attributes of the content.

Operating on such content, the QA system generates answers for inputquestions using a plurality of intensive analysis mechanisms whichevaluate the content to identify the most probable answers, i.e.candidate answers, for the input question. The most probable answers areoutput as a ranked listing of candidate answers ranked according totheir relative scores or confidence measures calculated duringevaluation of the candidate answers, as a single final answer having ahighest ranking score or confidence measure, or which is a best match tothe input question, or a combination of ranked listing and final answer.

FIG. 1 depicts a schematic diagram of one illustrative embodiment of aquestion/answer creation (QA) system 100 in a computer network 102. Oneexample of a question/answer generation which may be used in conjunctionwith the principles described herein is described in U.S. PatentApplication Publication No. 2011/0125734, which is herein incorporatedby reference in its entirety. The QA system 100 is implemented on one ormore computing devices 104 (comprising one or more processors and one ormore memories, and potentially any other computing device elementsgenerally known in the art including buses, storage devices,communication interfaces, and the like) connected to the computernetwork 102. The network 102 includes multiple computing devices 104 incommunication with each other and with other devices or components viaone or more wired and/or wireless data communication links, where eachcommunication link comprises one or more of wires, routers, switches,transmitters, receivers, or the like. The QA system 100 and network 102enables question/answer (QA) generation functionality for one or more QAsystem users via their respective computing devices 110-112. Otherembodiments of the QA system 100 may be used with components, systems,sub-systems, and/or devices other than those that are depicted herein.

The QA system 100 is configured to implement a QA system pipeline 108that receive inputs from various sources. For example, the QA system 100receives input from the network 102, a corpus of electronic documents106, QA system users, and/or other data and other possible sources ofinput. In one embodiment, some or all of the inputs to the QA system 100are routed through the network 102. The various computing devices 104 onthe network 102 include access points for content creators and QA systemusers. Some of the computing devices 104 include devices for a databasestoring the corpus of data 106 (which is shown as a separate entity inFIG. 1 for illustrative purposes only). Portions of the corpus of data106 may also be provided on one or more other network attached storagedevices, in one or more databases, or other computing devices notexplicitly shown in FIG. 1. The network 102 includes local networkconnections and remote connections in various embodiments, such that theQA system 100 may operate in environments of any size, including localand global, e.g., the Internet.

In one embodiment, the content creator creates content in a document ofthe corpus of data 106 for use as part of a corpus of data with the QAsystem 100. The document includes any file, text, article, or source ofdata for use in the QA system 100. QA system users access the QA system100 via a network connection or an Internet connection to the network102, and input questions to the QA system 100 that are answered by thecontent in the corpus of data 106. In one embodiment, the questions areformed using natural language. The QA system 100 parses and interpretsthe question, and provides a response to the QA system user, e.g., QAsystem user 110, containing one or more answers to the question. In someembodiments, the QA system 100 provides a response to users in a rankedlist of candidate answers while in other illustrative embodiments, theQA system 100 provides a single final answer or a combination of a finalanswer and ranked listing of other candidate answers.

The QA system 100 implements a QA system pipeline 108 which comprises aplurality of stages for processing an input question and the corpus ofdata 106. The QA system pipeline 108 generates answers for the inputquestion based on the processing of the input question and the corpus ofdata 106. The QA system pipeline 108 will be described in greater detailhereafter with regard to FIG. 3.

In some illustrative embodiments, the QA system 100 may be the IBMWatson™ QA system available from International Business MachinesCorporation of Armonk, N.Y., which is augmented with the mechanisms ofthe illustrative embodiments described hereafter. As outlinedpreviously, the IBM Watson™ QA system receives an input question whichit then parses to extract the major features of the question, that inturn are then used to formulate queries that are applied to the corpusof data. Based on the application of the queries to the corpus of data,a set of hypotheses, or candidate answers to the input question, aregenerated by looking across the corpus of data for portions of thecorpus of data that have some potential for containing a valuableresponse to the input question. The IBM Watson™ QA system then performsdeep analysis on the language of the input question and the languageused in each of the portions of the corpus of data found during theapplication of the queries using a variety of reasoning algorithms. Thescores obtained from the various reasoning algorithms are then weightedagainst a statistical model that summarizes a level of confidence thatthe IBM Watson™ QA system has regarding the evidence that the potentialresponse, i.e. candidate answer, is inferred by the question. Thisprocess is to be repeated for each of the candidate answers to generateranked listing of candidate answers which may then be presented to theuser that submitted the input question, or from which a final answer isselected and presented to the user. More information about the IBMWatson™ QA system may be obtained, for example, from the IBM Corporationwebsite, IBM Redbooks, and the like. For example, information about theIBM Watson™ QA system can be found in Yuan et al., “Watson andHealthcare,” IBM developerWorks, 2011 and “The Era of Cognitive Systems:An Inside Look at IBM Watson and How it Works” by Rob High, IBMRedbooks, 2012.

In accordance with the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments, theQA system 100 operates in conjunction with, or may have integrated intothe QA system 100, a hypothetical ontological link identification andevaluation engine 150 to evaluate an ontology of information concepts,identify other hypothetical ontological links that could possibly existwithin the ontology, and then evaluate those hypothetical ontologicallinks to determine the amount of evidential support for or against thosehypothetical ontological links being valid actual ontological links. Indoing so, the hypothetical ontological link identification andevaluation engine 150 operates on an ontology data structure 160 thatspecifies a plurality of instances of information concept entities ofthe same or various different types and their known ontological links ofthe same or various types.

The ontology 160 is analyzed and evaluated to determine the possiblyhypothetical ontological links between information concept entities. Ahypothetical ontological link is then evaluated to determine the type(s)of information concept entities associated with the hypothetical linkand the type(s) of the hypothetical link between the information conceptentities. The type(s) of information concept entities and the type ofthe hypothetical link are used to retrieve one or more sets of questionsfor evaluating the hypothetical ontological link. These questions arethen submitted to the QA system 100 for evaluation against the evidenceprovided in the corpus or corpora to thereby generate candidate answersto the questions and determine a confidence in these candidate answers.The confidence in the candidate answers serves to provide a measure ofevaluation for the hypothetical ontological link with regard to whetherthe hypothetical ontological link is more or less likely to be an actualontological link within the ontology even though the ontology did notoriginally include that link explicitly. The operation for identifyinghypothetical ontological links and evaluating them will be described ingreater detail hereafter.

FIG. 2 is a block diagram of an example data processing system in whichaspects of the illustrative embodiments are implemented. Data processingsystem 200 is an example of a computer, such as server 104 or client 110in FIG. 1, in which computer usable code or instructions implementingthe processes for illustrative embodiments of the present invention arelocated. In one illustrative embodiment, FIG. 2 represents a servercomputing device, such as a server 104, which implements a QA system 100and QA system pipeline 108 augmented to include the additionalmechanisms of the illustrative embodiments described hereafter.

In the depicted example, data processing system 200 employs a hubarchitecture including north bridge and memory controller hub (NB/MCH)202 and south bridge and input/output (I/O) controller hub (SB/ICH) 204.Processing unit 206, main memory 208, and graphics processor 210 areconnected to NB/MCH 202. Graphics processor 210 is connected to NB/MCH202 through an accelerated graphics port (AGP).

In the depicted example, local area network (LAN) adapter 212 connectsto SB/ICH 204. Audio adapter 216, keyboard and mouse adapter 220, modem222, read only memory (ROM) 224, hard disk drive (HDD) 226, CD-ROM drive230, universal serial bus (USB) ports and other communication ports 232,and PCI/PCIe devices 234 connect to SB/ICH 204 through bus 238 and bus240. PCI/PCIe devices may include, for example, Ethernet adapters,add-in cards, and PC cards for notebook computers. PCI uses a card buscontroller, while PCIe does not. ROM 224 may be, for example, a flashbasic input/output system (BIOS).

HDD 226 and CD-ROM drive 230 connect to SB/ICH 204 through bus 240. HDD226 and CD-ROM drive 230 may use, for example, an integrated driveelectronics (IDE) or serial advanced technology attachment (SATA)interface. Super I/O (SIO) device 236 is connected to SB/ICH 204.

An operating system runs on processing unit 206. The operating systemcoordinates and provides control of various components within the dataprocessing system 200 in FIG. 2. As a client, the operating system is acommercially available operating system such as Microsoft® Windows 8®.An object-oriented programming system, such as the Java™ programmingsystem, may run in conjunction with the operating system and providescalls to the operating system from Java™ programs or applicationsexecuting on data processing system 200.

As a server, data processing system 200 may be, for example, an IBM®eServer™ System P® computer system, running the Advanced InteractiveExecutive (AIX®) operating system or the LINUX® operating system. Dataprocessing system 200 may be a symmetric multiprocessor (SMP) systemincluding a plurality of processors in processing unit 206.Alternatively, a single processor system may be employed.

Instructions for the operating system, the object-oriented programmingsystem, and applications or programs are located on storage devices,such as HDD 226, and are loaded into main memory 208 for execution byprocessing unit 206. The processes for illustrative embodiments of thepresent invention are performed by processing unit 206 using computerusable program code, which is located in a memory such as, for example,main memory 208, ROM 224, or in one or more peripheral devices 226 and230, for example.

A bus system, such as bus 238 or bus 240 as shown in FIG. 2, iscomprised of one or more buses. Of course, the bus system may beimplemented using any type of communication fabric or architecture thatprovides for a transfer of data between different components or devicesattached to the fabric or architecture. A communication unit, such asmodem 222 or network adapter 212 of FIG. 2, includes one or more devicesused to transmit and receive data. A memory may be, for example, mainmemory 208, ROM 224, or a cache such as found in NB/MCH 202 in FIG. 2.

Those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that the hardwaredepicted in FIGS. 1 and 2 may vary depending on the implementation.Other internal hardware or peripheral devices, such as flash memory,equivalent non-volatile memory, or optical disk drives and the like, maybe used in addition to or in place of the hardware depicted in FIGS. 1and 2. Also, the processes of the illustrative embodiments may beapplied to a multiprocessor data processing system, other than the SMPsystem mentioned previously, without departing from the spirit and scopeof the present invention.

Moreover, the data processing system 200 may take the form of any of anumber of different data processing systems including client computingdevices, server computing devices, a tablet computer, laptop computer,telephone or other communication device, a personal digital assistant(PDA), or the like. In some illustrative examples, data processingsystem 200 may be a portable computing device that is configured withflash memory to provide non-volatile memory for storing operating systemfiles and/or user-generated data, for example. Essentially, dataprocessing system 200 may be any known or later developed dataprocessing system without architectural limitation.

FIG. 3 illustrates a QA system pipeline for processing an input questionin accordance with one illustrative embodiment. The QA system pipelineof FIG. 3 may be implemented, for example, as QA system pipeline 108 ofQA system 100 in FIG. 1. It should be appreciated that the stages of theQA system pipeline shown in FIG. 3 are implemented as one or moresoftware engines, components, or the like, which are configured withlogic for implementing the functionality attributed to the particularstage. Each stage is implemented using one or more of such softwareengines, components or the like. The software engines, components, etc.are executed on one or more processors of one or more data processingsystems or devices and utilize or operate on data stored in one or moredata storage devices, memories, or the like, on one or more of the dataprocessing systems. The QA system pipeline of FIG. 3 is augmented, forexample, in one or more of the stages to implement the improvedmechanism of the illustrative embodiments described hereafter,additional stages may be provided to implement the improved mechanism,or separate logic from the pipeline 300 may be provided for interfacingwith the pipeline 300 and implementing the improved functionality andoperations of the illustrative embodiments.

As shown in FIG. 3, the QA system pipeline 300 comprises a plurality ofstages 310-380 through which the QA system operates to analyze an inputquestion and generate a final response. In an initial question inputstage 310, the QA system receives an input question that is presented ina natural language format. That is, a user inputs, via a user interface,an input question for which the user wishes to obtain an answer, e.g.,“Who are Washington's closest advisors?” In response to receiving theinput question, the next stage of the QA system pipeline 300, i.e. thequestion and topic analysis stage 320, parses the input question usingnatural language processing (NLP) techniques to extract major featuresfrom the input question, and classify the major features according totypes, e.g., names, dates, or any of a plethora of other defined topics.For example, in the example question above, the term “who” may beassociated with a topic for “persons” indicating that the identity of aperson is being sought, “Washington” may be identified as a proper nameof a person with which the question is associated, “closest” may beidentified as a word indicative of proximity or relationship, and“advisors” may be indicative of a noun or other language topic.

In addition, the extracted major features include key words and phrasesclassified into question characteristics, such as the focus of thequestion, the lexical answer type (LAT) of the question, and the like.As referred to herein, a lexical answer type (LAT) is a word in, or aword inferred from, the input question that indicates the type of theanswer, independent of assigning semantics to that word. For example, inthe question “What maneuver was invented in the 1500s to speed up thegame and involves two pieces of the same color?,” the LAT is the string“maneuver.” The focus of a question is the part of the question that, ifreplaced by the answer, makes the question a standalone statement. Forexample, in the question “What drug has been shown to relieve thesymptoms of ADD with relatively few side effects?,” the focus is “drug”since if this word were replaced with the answer, e.g., the answer“Adderall” can be used to replace the term “drug” to generate thesentence “Adderall has been shown to relieve the symptoms of ADD withrelatively few side effects.” The focus often, but not always, containsthe LAT. On the other hand, in many cases it is not possible to infer ameaningful LAT from the focus.

Referring again to FIG. 3, the identified major features are then usedduring the question decomposition stage 330 to decompose the questioninto one or more queries that are applied to the corpora ofdata/information 345 in order to generate one or more hypotheses. Thequeries are generated in any known or later developed query language,such as the Structure Query Language (SQL), or the like. The queries areapplied to one or more databases storing information about theelectronic texts, documents, articles, websites, and the like, that makeup the corpora of data/information 345. That is, these various sourcesthemselves, different collections of sources, and the like, represent adifferent corpus 347 within the corpora 345. There may be differentcorpora 347 defined for different collections of documents based onvarious criteria depending upon the particular implementation. Forexample, different corpora may be established for different topics,subject matter categories, sources of information, or the like. As oneexample, a first corpus may be associated with healthcare documentswhile a second corpus may be associated with financial documents.Alternatively, one corpus may be documents published by the U.S.Department of Energy while another corpus may be IBM Redbooks documents.Any collection of content having some similar attribute may beconsidered to be a corpus 347 within the corpora 345.

The queries are applied to one or more databases storing informationabout the electronic texts, documents, articles, websites, and the like,that make up the corpus of data/information, e.g., the corpus of data106 in FIG. 1. The queries are applied to the corpus of data/informationat the hypothesis generation stage 340 to generate results identifyingpotential hypotheses for answering the input question, which can then beevaluated. That is, the application of the queries results in theextraction of portions of the corpus of data/information matching thecriteria of the particular query. These portions of the corpus are thenanalyzed and used, during the hypothesis generation stage 340, togenerate hypotheses for answering the input question. These hypothesesare also referred to herein as “candidate answers” for the inputquestion. For any input question, at this stage 340, there may behundreds of hypotheses or candidate answers generated that may need tobe evaluated.

The QA system pipeline 300, in stage 350, then performs a deep analysisand comparison of the language of the input question and the language ofeach hypothesis or “candidate answer,” as well as performs evidencescoring to evaluate the likelihood that the particular hypothesis is acorrect answer for the input question. As mentioned above, this involvesusing a plurality of reasoning algorithms, each performing a separatetype of analysis of the language of the input question and/or content ofthe corpus that provides evidence in support of, or not in support of,the hypothesis. Each reasoning algorithm generates a score based on theanalysis it performs which indicates a measure of relevance of theindividual portions of the corpus of data/information extracted byapplication of the queries as well as a measure of the correctness ofthe corresponding hypothesis, i.e. a measure of confidence in thehypothesis. There are various ways of generating such scores dependingupon the particular analysis being performed. In general, however, thesealgorithms look for particular terms, phrases, or patterns of text thatare indicative of terms, phrases, or patterns of interest and determinea degree of matching with higher degrees of matching being givenrelatively higher scores than lower degrees of matching.

Thus, for example, an algorithm may be configured to look for the exactterm from an input question or synonyms to that term in the inputquestion, e.g., the exact term or synonyms for the term “movie,” andgenerate a score based on a frequency of use of these exact terms orsynonyms. In such a case, exact matches will be given the highestscores, while synonyms may be given lower scores based on a relativeranking of the synonyms as may be specified by a subject matter expert(person with knowledge of the particular domain and terminology used) orautomatically determined from frequency of use of the synonym in thecorpus corresponding to the domain. Thus, for example, an exact match ofthe term “movie” in content of the corpus (also referred to as evidence,or evidence passages) is given a highest score. A synonym of movie, suchas “motion picture” may be given a lower score but still higher than asynonym of the type “film” or “moving picture show.” Instances of theexact matches and synonyms for each evidence passage may be compiled andused in a quantitative function to generate a score for the degree ofmatching of the evidence passage to the input question.

Thus, for example, a hypothesis or candidate answer to the inputquestion of “What was the first movie?” is “The Horse in Motion.” If theevidence passage contains the statements “The first motion picture evermade was ‘The Horse in Motion’ in 1878 by Eadweard Muybridge. It was amovie of a horse running,” and the algorithm is looking for exactmatches or synonyms to the focus of the input question, i.e. “movie,”then an exact match of “movie” is found in the second sentence of theevidence passage and a highly scored synonym to “movie,” i.e. “motionpicture,” is found in the first sentence of the evidence passage. Thismay be combined with further analysis of the evidence passage toidentify that the text of the candidate answer is present in theevidence passage as well, i.e. “The Horse in Motion.” These factors maybe combined to give this evidence passage a relatively high score assupporting evidence for the candidate answer “The Horse in Motion” beinga correct answer.

It should be appreciated that this is just one simple example of howscoring can be performed. Many other algorithms of various complexitiesmay be used to generate scores for candidate answers and evidencewithout departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention.

In the synthesis stage 360, the large number of scores generated by thevarious reasoning algorithms are synthesized into confidence scores orconfidence measures for the various hypotheses. This process involvesapplying weights to the various scores, where the weights have beendetermined through training of the statistical model employed by the QAsystem and/or dynamically updated. For example, the weights for scoresgenerated by algorithms that identify exactly matching terms and synonymmay be set relatively higher than other algorithms that are evaluatingpublication dates for evidence passages. The weights themselves may bespecified by subject matter experts or learned through machine learningprocesses that evaluate the significance of characteristics evidencepassages and their relative importance to overall candidate answergeneration.

The weighted scores are processed in accordance with a statistical modelgenerated through training of the QA system that identifies a manner bywhich these scores may be combined to generate a confidence score ormeasure for the individual hypotheses or candidate answers. Thisconfidence score or measure summarizes the level of confidence that theQA system has about the evidence that the candidate answer is inferredby the input question, i.e. that the candidate answer is the correctanswer for the input question.

The resulting confidence scores or measures are processed by a finalconfidence merging and ranking stage 370 which compares the confidencescores and measures to each other, compares them against predeterminedthresholds, or performs any other analysis on the confidence scores todetermine which hypotheses/candidate answers are the most likely to bethe correct answer to the input question. The hypotheses/candidateanswers are ranked according to these comparisons to generate a rankedlisting of hypotheses/candidate answers (hereafter simply referred to as“candidate answers”). From the ranked listing of candidate answers, atstage 380, a final answer and confidence score, or final set ofcandidate answers and confidence scores, are generated and output to thesubmitter of the original input question via a graphical user interfaceor other mechanism for outputting information.

The illustrative embodiments utilize the QA system of FIGS. 1-3 toanswer questions for evaluating a hypothetical ontological link. Assuch, the QA system pipeline 300 may be utilized to receive an inputquestion regarding the hypothetical ontological link and evaluate theinput question against the corpus 347 or corpora 345 to generatecandidate answers and evidential support for/against the candidateanswers. The candidate answers and their evidential support are used togenerate a final answer to the question and corresponding confidencevalue. The final answers to each of the questions presented for aparticular hypothetical ontological link are then used to generate aconfidence score for the hypothetical ontological link itself through alink scoring operation that takes into consideration the type andcharacteristics of the hypothetical ontological link, the type andcharacteristics of the information concept objects associated with thehypothetical ontological links, the type and characteristics of anysub-links of the hypothetical ontological link, and the type andcharacteristics of the evidential support for/against the sub-links andhypothetical ontological link being actual valid links. In generatingsuch confidence scores, or simply “scores”, for these sub-links andhypothetical ontological links, collaboration of evidence, grading ofsources, certainty of statements in the evidence, and the like, may beevaluated to adjust the weightings and relative scorings of evidence insupport of or against a candidate answer being correct and/or thescoring of a particular sub-link and/or the hypothetical ontologicallink as a whole.

Multiple types of sub-links between the same information concepts may beaggregated along with their corresponding confidence scores to determinean aggregate score for the hypothetical ontological link between theinformation concepts as a whole, e.g., hypothetical ontological links oftypes “person A calls person B”, “person A meets with person B,” “personA texts with person B” and the like may be combined to determine a valuefor the overall hypothetical ontological link that “person A knowsperson B” or “person A is an acquaintance of person B.” This aggregatescore for the overall hypothetical ontological link between theinformation concepts may be used to determine whether the hypotheticalontological link is an actual link that should be represented within theontology.

FIG. 4 is an example block diagram illustrating the primary operationalelements of a hypothetical ontological link identification andevaluation engine in accordance with one illustrative embodiment. Asshown in FIG. 4, the primary operational elements comprise ahypothetical ontological link identification engine 410, a questiongenerator 420, one or more hypothetical link evaluation pipelines 430, alink scoring and analyzer engine 440, and ontology modification engine450. The hypothetical ontological link engine 410 operates on anontology data structure 460 that comprises information concept objects462 and links 464 between information concept objects. These informationconcept objects 462 and links 464 have associated attributes including atype with the type being one of a plurality of pre-defined types, e.g.,a person, a place, a type of thing, a type of event, etc. Types may bespecified at any desired granularity depending upon the particularimplementation.

The hypothetical ontological link identification engine 410 operatesautomatically through analysis of the ontology 460 to determine possiblehypothetical ontological links between information concept objects 462of the ontology 460, i.e. links that are not present in the actual links464 of the ontology 460 (i.e. links that do not explicitly exist in theevidential data) but may have a likelihood of existing in actuality andmay be added to the ontology 460. In automatically identifying suchhypothetical ontological links, the hypothetical ontological linkidentification engine 410 is configured with logic to evaluate varioustypes of information concept objects 462, their actual links 464, anddetermine through inference other types of links that may exist.

For example, the logic of the hypothetical ontological linkidentification engine 410 may analyze the links (also referred to hereinas “relationships”) between an information concept object for “JohnSmith” and other individuals, events, locations, and the like, specifiedas other information concept objects 462 in the ontology 460. Forexample, through analysis it may be determined that John Smith knowsJane Jones. In addition, the information concept objects 462 with whichthe John Smith object has a link may be analyzed to determine links 464that they have to other information concept objects 462. For example, itmay be determined that Jane Jones knows Carl Carter. Further analysismay determine that John Smith does not have a link to Carl Carter andthus, since John Smith knows Jane Jones, and Jane Jones knows CarlCarter, but there is no indication that John Smith knows Carl Carter,there is a possibility that John Smith knows Carl Carter but this is notreflected in the ontology 460. As a result, the hypothetical ontologicallink identification engine 410 may generate a hypothetical ontologicallink between John Smith and Carl Carter for further evaluation. Itshould be appreciated that this can be done with any types ofinformation concept objects 462, any combination of types of informationconcept objects, and for any types of links between any combination ofone or more types of information concept objects.

Alternatively, a user may provide a manual input of one or moreinformation concept objects of interest and a type of link associatedwith the one or more information concept objects of interest and/or withother information concept objects in the ontology 460. The manual inputmay be a free-form input from the user via a user interface, a selectionof one or more information concept objects of interest from arepresentation of the ontology 460 via a user interface, a selection ofone or more link types from a listing of pre-defined link types, or thelike. For example, a user may manually input an identifier of aninformation concept object 462 corresponding to “John Smith” and anidentifier of a type of link of “acquaintances.” In response, the logicof the hypothetical ontological link identification engine 410determines the hypothetical links of the specified type between theinformation concept object 462 corresponding to John Smith and otherinformation concept objects 462 having a type that correlates with thetype of the hypothetical links, e.g., a link type of “acquaintances”corresponds to information concept objects of a “person” type whereas alink type of “goes to” or “frequents” may correspond to informationconcept objects of a “place” type.

All of the possible hypothetical ontological links of the specified typeassociated with the identified information concept object(s) areidentified using the ontology 460. Moreover, rather than specifying asingle information concept object and a hypothetical link type, the usermay specify the hypothetical link type and the two or more informationconcept objects of interest, e.g., “John Smith” (information conceptobject 1 of type: person) “frequents” (hypothetical ontological linktype having associated person and location information concept objects)“Al's Electronics” (information concept object 2 of type: location).

It should be appreciated that the hypothetical ontological link may be ageneric link between information concepts indicating that there is somelink between the information concepts but without a specific type orcategory. Based on the information concepts that are being linked,however, it may be determined that the hypothetical ontological link islikely one of a plurality of types and each possible sub-link type maybe evaluated using the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments. Forexample, a link between person A and person B is likely of a generictype “knows.” However, there may be many ways that person A may knowperson B and each possible way would need to be explored to determinewhether person A knows person B. For example, person A may be “relatedto” person B, person A may “work with” person B, person A may “be anacquaintance of” person B, person A may have “called” person B, etc.Each of these types of interactions represent types of links betweenperson A and person B which together indicate whether person A knowsperson B in some capacity. Each of these types of links may be evaluatedand the combination of the evaluations may be used to ultimatelydetermine whether person A knows person B. Similar hypotheticalontological links and sub-links may exist for other generic types oflinks between information concepts in an ontology 460.

Whether using the automatic identification of hypothetical ontologicallinks from analysis of the ontology 460 or using the manual entry ofsuch hypothetical ontological links of interest, the hypotheticalontological link identification engine 410 outputs the hypotheticalontological links 412 and information concept objects 414 of thesehypothetical ontological links to the question generator 420. Thus, forexample, a user may input that the user wishes to know if person A knowsperson B in the ontology 460. From this input, the hypotheticalontological link identification engine 410 determines, based onconfigured logic and associated data structures, that there are a set ofhypothetical ontological links 412 that correspond to the particulartypes of information concepts (person A and person B) that should beevaluated, e.g., person A is related to person B, person A works withperson B, person A is acquainted with person B, etc. Each of thesehypothetical ontological links 412 is input to the question generator420 to generate a set of questions for each hypothetical ontologicallink 412.

The question generator 420 identifies the types of the informationconcept objects 414 and hypothetical ontological links 412. For aparticular hypothetical ontological link 412, the question generator 420retrieves a corresponding set of hypothetical link question templatesfor that particular hypothetical ontological link type and/or acombination of that particular hypothetical ontological link type andthe types of the specified information concept objects 414, from thehypothetical link question template database 422. For example, if thehypothetical ontological link type is “know” and the information conceptobjects 414 include a particular person or person, a set of questiontemplates for the hypothetical ontological link type may be retrieved.

In some illustrative embodiments, the set of hypothetical link questiontemplates may be further pruned according to particular characteristicsof the information concept objects associated with the hypotheticalontological link so as to identify a sub-set of the hypothetical linkquestion templates that are specific to the particular combination ofinformation concept objects being evaluated. For example, if the initialset of hypothetical link question templates for a hypotheticalontological link of John robbing Al's Electronics includes a large setof question templates, some of which are directed to robberies of othertypes of locations, such as a bank, personal residence, or the like,these questions may be less relevant than other question templatesdirected to robberies of retail establishments. Thus, by looking at thecharacteristics of Al's Electronics information concept object, one ofwhich may be the type of location being a retail establishment, then thecharacteristics of the information concept object may be matched tocorresponding characteristics of question templates in the set ofhypothetical link question templates to thereby filter the set ofhypothetical link question templates to a sub-set that is relevant tothe particular characteristics of the information concept objectsassociated with the hypothetical ontological link, or sub-link, beingevaluated.

The question templates, or sub-set of question templates, may then bepopulated with information regarding the selected information conceptobjects and/or other information concept objects of a particular typewithin the ontology 460. For example, if a question template is of thetype “Does <person A> know <person B>?” this template may be populatedwith the selected information concept object 414 for “John Smith” as“<person A>” with the information concept objects for other persons inthe ontology 460 being used to populate the second variable field of“<person B>” such that multiple actual questions of this same templatetype are generated and evaluated, e.g., “Does John Smith know MaryAdams?”, “Does John Smith know Paul Portage?”, etc. Moreover, multipletemplates may be retrieved and each may be the source for generating aset of questions for different combinations of information conceptobjects that may be evaluated by the question answering system. Forexample, in addition to the above template, a second template of thetype “What type of relationship does <person A> have with <person B>?”may also be retrieved and used to generate a set of questions forevaluation.

The sets of questions 424 may then be output to one or more hypotheticalontological link evaluation pipelines 430. The hypothetical ontologicallink evaluation pipelines 430 may each comprise a QA system pipeline432, such as the QA system pipeline 300 in FIG. 3, which is used toevaluate questions input to the QA system pipeline 432. Each QA systempipeline 432 may be trained for processing particular types ofhypothetical ontological links and the question generator 420 may routethe output questions 424 to the appropriate QA system pipeline 432 ofthe hypothetical ontological link evaluation pipelines 430, e.g., afirst QA system pipeline may be trained to evaluate hypotheticalontological links of a sub-type of “is related to” while another secondQA system pipeline may be trained to evaluate hypothetical ontologicallinks of the sub-type “acquaintance”, etc.

The QA system pipelines 432 evaluate the input questions against one ormore corpora 470 in the manner previously described above with regard toFIG. 3. As shown in FIG. 4, the one or more corpora 470 may comprisedata of different types and from different sources that provide evidencefor evaluating relationships (links) between information concept objects462 in the ontology 460. In one illustrative embodiment, these sourcesof information provide annotated call logs, social website data,electronic communication data, position determination system data (GPS,cellular network triangulation information, etc.), crime investigationdata, criminal record data, and the like. There may be different corporafor different QA system pipelines 432 such that not all of the QA systempipelines 432 may access the same set of data in the corpora, e.g., oneQA system pipeline may utilize telephone records in the corpora whileanother does not and instead utilizes position determination system dataas part of its corpora.

Mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may curate the one or morecorpora 470 based on an evaluation of the sources of content (evidence)in the one or more corpora 470. As mentioned above, the sources ofcontent may be evaluated to determine the veracity of the sources and arelative weighting to be attributed to content (evidence) provided bythose sources, or even if evidence from those sources should be removedfrom further consideration and evaluation. This curation of the one ormore corpora 470 may result in a temporary or permanent modification ofthe one or more corpora with regard to the relative weightingsattributed to the sources and the corresponding evidence and/or theremoval of evidence from the one or more corpora 470 based on the sourcebeing removed. In some illustrative embodiments, if a source issufficiently highly rated, e.g. above a predetermined threshold, thenadditional content (evidence) from that source may be requested andadded to the one or more corpora 470.

The one or more corpora 470 may be evaluated by the QA system pipeline432 to generate answers to the input questions that are indicative ofwhether a particular hypothetical ontological link is more or lesslikely to be an actual ontological link in the ontology 460. Inaddition, the evidence in support of, or refuting, the answer(collectively referred to herein as “supporting evidence”) to the inputquestions may be maintained in association with the answer for furtherevaluation by the link scoring and analyzer engine 440 as describedhereafter. That is, the QA system pipelines 432 output answers 434 tothe input questions, the corresponding confidence scores 436 associatedwith the answers, and supporting evidence 438 to the link scoring andanalyzer engine 440. The link scoring and analyzer engine 440 combinesthe confidence scores of the answers to generate a base score for thehypothetical ontological link. In addition, the link scoring andanalyzer engine 440 may comprise additional logic for analyzing featuresof the supporting evidence for each of the answers to the inputquestions to thereby adjust these base scores based on the results ofthis additional analysis.

For example, when performing link scoring, the link scoring and analyzerengine 440 may evaluate the time of day in the supporting evidencerepresent an interaction of the information concepts that supports ahypothetical ontological links 412, a duration of the interaction, afrequency of the interactions, whether the information concepts wereco-located, a type of activity involved in the interactions, a directionof the interaction (e.g. person A called person B or person B calledperson A), and the like. These evidential characteristics may bespecific to the type of evidence being evaluated, e.g., if the evidenceis call records, characteristics of frequency and duration of calls,direction of calls, and the like, may be evaluated whereas for evidenceof a location system, characteristics such as geographic coordinatedistances, frequency of co-location, time of day of co-location, and thelike, may be evaluated.

Thus, for example, if supporting evidence shows that John Smith calledJane Jones (direction of call characteristic) at 9 p.m. (time of daycharacteristic) on Tuesday (day of week characteristic) and the calllasted approximately 30 minutes (duration of call characteristic), itcan be deduced that John Smith and Jane Jones have a more personalrelationship than just a work relationship since the time of the callwas after work hours. As another example, if the time of the call isgreater than a predetermined threshold amount of time, e.g., 20 minutes,then it may be determined that the relationship is of a greater level ofpersonal relationship than if the duration were only 5 minutes.Moreover, if John Smith and Jane Jones call each other more than apredetermined number of times within a prescribed time interval and attimes of the day that were after work hours, then it can be determinedthat there is closer relationship between the persons than if the callswere more infrequent and during working hours. Furthermore, if there issupporting evidence that John Smith and Jane Jones were both located inthe same location frequently and at times of day that were after workhours, and for relatively long periods of time, it can be determinedthat John Smith and Jane Jones have a personal relationship with oneanother. This information may be used to categorize the type ofhypothetical ontological link between the information concepts, e.g., alink of “knows” may be associated with two information concepts but maybe further classified into a class of “acquaintance” as a category ofthe hypothetical ontological link of “knows.”

As noted above, in some instances a hypothetical ontological linkbetween information concepts in the ontology 460 may comprise aplurality of sub-links of different types, e.g., person A knows person Bmay comprise sub-links of person A calls person B, person A is relatedto person B, person A works with person B, etc. For each such sub-linkseparate link scores may be generated by the link scoring and analyzerengine 440 based on scoring logic taking into account link type, linkand evidential characteristics, weightings associated with the variouscomponents of the scoring, i.e. link type, link and evidentialcharacteristics, etc. The link scoring and analyzer engine 440 mayaggregate these scores for these heterogeneous sub-links to generate ascore for the overall hypothetical ontological link. Thus, a first scorefor person A calling person B may be generated, a second score forperson A being related to person B may be generated, a third score forperson A working with person B may be generated, and these scores may becombined in accordance with a determined formula or mathematicalalgorithm, e.g., a decaying sum or the like, to generate an overallscore for the hypothetical ontological link that person A knows personB.

The aggregation of scores from various heterogeneous sub-links may beweighted according to the particular type and characteristics of thesub-links. Thus, for example, a sub-link of the type “calls” may be moreheavily weighted when evaluating a hypothetical ontological link of thetype “knows” than for a hypothetical ontological link of the type“frequents.” That is, if the hypothetical ontological link were John“frequents” Al's Electronics, and there are sub-links that John callsMary, that Mary has been located at Al's Electronics, that Mary callsFred, and that John is co-located with Mary on multiple occasions, theweighting of the sub-links of John calls Mary and Mary calls John willhave relatively lower weight for this hypothetical ontological link thanone that is evaluating whether John knows Fred since John calling Maryis less likely to be indicative of John frequenting Al's Electronicsthan it is indicative of John knowing Fred.

As another example, assume that an original ontology is generated basedon an initial set of information that includes information conceptobjects and links between the information concept objects. Moreover,further assume that a corpus of information includes telephone records,position information for individuals as may have been obtained from apositioning system, surveillance information indicating logs of eventsobserved by surveillance personnel, electronic communication recordsfrom computing systems, e.g., electronic mail servers, internet serviceproviders, etc. From automated analysis of an original ontology, throughuser input specifying a hypothetical link of interest, or a combinationof these approaches, a hypothetical link of interest of “Mary” “knowing”“Fred” may be selected for evaluation. This hypothetical link may becomprised of a plurality of sub-links including, for example, Mary being“related to” Fred, Mary “calling” Fred, Mary being “co-located” withFred, etc., all of which provide some measure of whether Mary truly“knows” Fred or not. Thus, the sub-links may be of a plurality ofdifferent types.

In order to evaluate these hypothetical sub-links that make up theoverall hypothetical link that Mary “knows” Fred, evidence from thecorpus may be analyzed to identify actual evidential links between theinformation concept objects. For example, call records may be analyzedto identify calls between Mary and other information concept objectsincluding any calls to Tom, Fred, or other individuals associated witheither Tom or Fred that may be indicative of Mary knowing someone thatis associated with Tom or Fred. Assume, for example, that in these calllogs, a record of a telephone call is found from Mary to Tom. The callrecord will have various characteristics associated with it which may beevaluated for scoring purposes to thereby score a sub-link between Maryand Tom that Mary “knows” Tom and to categorize the sub-link type into aparticular category, e.g., Mary “knows” Tom and this “knows” sub-link iscategorized as an “acquaintance.”

Through analysis of these various types of sub-links between theinformation concept objects for Mary, Tom, and Fred, various scores maybe associated with particular types of sub-links between the individualsindicative of types of relationships between these individuals, e.g.,“calls”, “visits”, “knows”, etc. The sub-links may be heterogeneous intype and may have various levels of weighting that are indicative oftheir relative importance to inferring the hypothetical ontological linkbetween information concept objects. That is, for a hypotheticalontological link of the type “knows,” a sub-link of the type “calls” maybe more indicative of a “knows” relationship than a sub-link of the type“co-location”. Of course, the characteristics of the particularsub-links are also more or less inferential of the hypotheticalontological link as well. Thus, if a “co-location” sub-link is presentbetween Mary and Fred, but this co-location is at a work or businesslocation, and happens frequently on work days of the week between thehours of 9 a.m. and 5 p.m., this is less likely to indicate that Maryknows Fred than if the location were a home location or residencelocation, occurs frequently, and tends to be during evening hours andmorning hours and on weekends, i.e. just because Mary may work in thesame location as Fred does not necessarily mean that Mary knows Fred butif Mary is often located at a residential location during non-businesshours, then this is more indicative of a “knows” relationship and infact is more indicative of Mary being related to Fred in some way sincerelated individuals tend to often spend non-business hours together inresidential locations.

These actual sub-links may have different scores based on the evidentialsupport for these sub-links from the corpus in support of, or refuting,the sub-link as being a valid link. The scores may then be aggregated togenerate an aggregate score of the evidential support for the varioussub-links which is then attributed to an aggregate hypothetical linkbetween two information concept objects. The aggregation of these scoresmay further be based on a weighting of the various sub-links based onthe sub-link type and pre-determined weights generated through machinelearning or user specification in configuration parameters for the linkscoring and analyzer engine 440.

For example, if the hypothetical ontological link is that Mary “knows”Fred, the various sub-links between the connected information conceptobjects, e.g., Mary, Tom, and Fred in this case, may be evaluated withregard to Mary and Fred to determine what the aggregate score would befor Mary “knows” Fred. This aggregation of the score may take differentforms dependent upon the particular type of hypothetical link beingevaluated. Thus, for example, the hypothetical link “knows” mayaggregate sub-links of “calls” and “visits” differently than ahypothetical link of “is related to”. In generating the aggregatescores, various weights may be applied to the scores of the sub-linksbased on various pre-defined criteria. For example, a higher weightingmay be associated with sub-links that are directly related to one ormore of the particular information concepts associated with thehypothetical link, e.g., in the example above, sub-links of the varioustypes that have one or both of Mary and Fred will be given a higherweight than sub-links that do not include Mary or Fred, and in factsub-links that involve both Mary and Fred may be given an even greaterweighting. In addition, based on the particular hypothetical link beingevaluated, different types of sub-links may be given greater weightingsaccording to the predetermined criteria, e.g., for a hypothetical linkbetween Mary and Fred of a “related to” type may more heavily weight“calls” sub-links than “co-location” sub-links.

Moreover, the particular characteristics of the particular sub-links maybe used to adjust these weights. Thus, for example, while a“co-location” sub-link may in general be given less weight than a“calls” sub-link, characteristics of a particular “co-location” sub-linkmay dynamically modify this weighting due to the particular type ofco-location involved. For example, if the co-location is at a personalresidence, and the personal residence is associated with one of theinformation concept objects, e.g., Mary, then the co-location sub-linkmay be more indicative of the hypothetical ontological link of Maryknows Fred, than if the co-location sub-link is associated with abusiness location. As a result, for the particular hypotheticalontological link of Mary knows Fred, the co-location sub-link betweenMary and Fred may have its weighting for the aggregate scoring of thehypothetical ontological link dynamically increased due to thecharacteristics of the co-location sub-link being more indicative of apersonal relationship between Mary and Fred. In a similar way, theparticular characteristics of a sub-link, e.g., location, time of day,frequency of action, direction of action, etc., may be less indicativeof a hypothetical ontological link being supported by the inferences ofthe sub-links in which case the weights of these sub-links may bedynamically reduced.

The pre-determined criteria may be specified by configuration parametersthat are learned using machine learning techniques or specified by humanusers and stored in association with particular sub-link andhypothetical ontological link types in configuration parameters or datastructures associated with the link scoring and analyzer engine 440. Forexample, an entry in such configuration parameters or data structuresmay include a listing of the sub-link types and correspondingcharacteristics that are more or less indicative of the sub-link and/orhypothetical ontological link being an actual link of the particulartype. Thus, for example, for an entry corresponding to a hypotheticalontological link of the type “is related to”, sub-link types of “calls”and “co-location” may be listed with corresponding base weightsassociated with these types of sub-links. For each sub-link, a listingof characteristics of that particular type of sub-link may be providedwith corresponding adjustment factors either increasing or decreasingthe base weight being provided, e.g., for a “calls” sub-link,characteristics of the type “evening hours” and “long duration” may beassociated with increase weight adjustments for a hypotheticalontological link of the type “is related to”. Thus, if a hypotheticalontological link of “is related to” is being evaluated, and a sub-linkof the type “calls” is identified, the corresponding base weight may beassigned to the calculated score for that “calls” link. Thecharacteristics of the sub-link may be further evaluated to determine ifthe “calls” link is indicative of calls in evening hours and for longdurations. If so, then the weight associated with the sub-link “calls”may be increased since calls of long duration and in evening hours aremore indicative of a “is related to” relationship or link. It should beappreciated that these characteristics of the sub-links are determinedthrough analysis of the evidential support in the corpus or corpora thatprovide the factual basis for determining the characteristics of thesesub-links.

The score for the overall hypothetical ontological link 412 is output tothe ontology modification engine 450 which then determines whether tomodify the ontology 460 based on the score for the hypotheticalontological link 412. In determining whether to modify the ontology 460,the ontology modification engine 450 may compare the score of ahypothetical ontological link to a threshold to determine if the scoremeets or exceeds the threshold, i.e. if there is sufficient evidence andconfidence in the hypothetical ontological link as being an actual linkbetween the information concepts to warrant addition of the hypotheticalontological link as an actual link in the ontology 460. If the scoremeets or exceeds the threshold, then the ontology modification engine450 may update the ontology 460 to include the hypothetical ontologicallink as an actual link in the ontology 460. Evidence in support of theaddition of this link may be maintained throughout this process, e.g.,evidence obtained from search and analysis of the information contentfrom the one or more corpora 470 when answering the questions associatedwith the hypothetical ontological link, and may be associated with thenewly added link in the ontology. This evidence may be used to evaluatethe support and reasoning for the addition of the link to the ontology460 as well as provide insight into other links of the ontology 460.

A user may be presented with notifications of the identification andevaluation of hypothetical ontological links, and may be presented witha representation 482 of the updated ontology 460, via a graphical userinterface 480. The user may interact with the ontology 460, such as viagraphical user interface elements or the like, to drill down into theevidence associated with various links of the ontology 460. Thisprovides greater insight to the user of the reasoning for certain linksand provides a basis upon which additional hypothetical links may beevaluated. For example, having determined that a person, John Smith,knows Carl Carter through the mechanisms previously described,additional types of hypothetical ontological links may be evaluated bythe user, e.g., the user may then request that the system of theillustrative embodiments evaluate hypothetical ontological links betweenCarl Carter and a particular event, e.g., a robbery of Al's Electronics,since it may be known that John Smith is a suspect in the event and thelink to Carl Carter indicates a possibility that Carl Carter may havealso been involved in the event. In this way, additional lines ofquestioning are identified in an automated manner and may be presentedto a user for determination as to whether to pursue such questioning andadditional hypothetical link evaluations, as will be described ingreater detail hereafter.

For example, having determined that a hypothetical ontological linkbetween two information concept objects has sufficient evidentialsupport to warrant a modification to the ontology to include thehypothetical ontological link as an actual link in the ontology, or thatthe hypothetical ontological link meets a predetermined threshold ofevidential support to warrant further investigation (even though it maybe not be sufficient to warrant modification of the ontology),additional hypothetical ontological links may be automatically generatedbased on an assumption that the initial hypothetical ontological link isan actual link in the ontology. For example, in the scenario above,there may not have been a previous connection between John Smith andCarl Carter in the ontology and thus, there was no reason to questionCarl Carter about a robbery at Al's Electronics. However, now that alink between Carl Carter and John Smith has been evaluated anddetermined to have sufficient evidence to warrant further investigation,as determined from a comparison of the score associated with the linkbetween Carl Carter and John Smith to one or more threshold scorecriteria for further investigation, then it now becomes prudent toinvestigate whether Carl Carter possibly has a link to the robbery ofAl's Electronics. Such a follow-up hypothetical ontological link may beautomatically identified or manually entered by a user in a similarmanner as previously described above but with the modified ontology as abasis or a virtually modified ontology in which the initial hypotheticalontological link between John Smith and Carl Carter is assumed to be anactual link for purposes of follow-up hypothetical ontological linkinvestigation but without formally modifying the ontology. In someillustrative embodiments, follow-up hypothetical ontological links maybe automatically identified and a listing of such hypotheticalontological links may be presented to a user for selection of one ormore of these to investigate further. In response to a user selection ofsuch a hypothetical ontological link from the listing, the aboveprocesses may be repeated with this new hypothetical ontological linkbeing the basis for the operation and the previously evaluatedhypothetical ontological link being utilized to provide supportingevidence as if the previously evaluated hypothetical ontological linkwere an actual link in the ontology.

Thus, in some illustrative embodiments, the evaluation of thehypothetical ontological link in the ontology comprises the operationsof: performing, by a Question and Answer (QA) system, an initialanalysis of the ontology to identify a set of information conceptentities and links between information concept entities in the ontology;generating, by the QA system, the hypothetical link between a firstinformation concept entity and a second information concept entity inthe ontology based on the initial analysis of the ontology; andprocessing, by the QA system, one or more natural language questionscorresponding to the hypothetical link. The processing of the one ormore natural language questions by the QA system may comprise generatinganswer results directed to a plurality of links between a plurality ofinformation concept entities. Moreover, the evaluation of thehypothetical ontological link may further comprise aggregating, by theQA system, the answer results across the plurality of links between theplurality of information concept entities to determine an aggregateanswer result for the hypothetical link and generating, by the QAsystem, an indication of whether or not the hypothetical link is a validlink between the first information concept entity and the secondinformation concept entity based on the aggregate answer result for thehypothetical link.

In these illustrative embodiments, the answer results directed to theplurality of links may comprise a plurality of numerical scores whereeach score is indicative of evidential support for a corresponding linkin the plurality of links. The plurality of links may comprise aplurality of links having heterogeneous link types between a pluralityof different information concept entities. The answer results directedto the plurality of links may comprise a plurality of numerical scores,where each score is indicative of evidential support for a correspondinglink in the plurality of links, and where each score is calculated basedon a weight value associated with a link type of the corresponding link.

The answer results may be determined, for each link in the plurality oflinks at least by, for example, determining a weight value based on thelink type and one or more characteristics of at least one of the link orinformation concept entities associated with the link and applying theweight value to an evidence score associated with the link to generate ascore for the link. The one or more characteristics may comprisecharacteristics of the link, where the characteristics of the linkcomprise at least one of a location associated with the link, a time ofday associated with the link, a frequency of action associated with thelink, or a direction of action associated with the link. Determining theweight value based on the link type and one or more characteristics ofat least one of the link or information concept entities associated withthe link may comprise correlating a characteristic of the link with alink type characteristic associated with a link type of the link basedon a data structure correlating characteristics with types of links,retrieving an adjustment value associated with the link typecharacteristic, and adjusting the weight value based on the retrievedadjustment value.

In some illustrative embodiments, evaluating the hypotheticalontological link may further comprise determining, by the QA system,whether or not to modify the ontology based on the aggregate answerresult, and, in response to determining to modify the ontology,modifying the ontology to include the hypothetical link as an actuallink in the ontology to generate an updated ontology. Generating, by theQA system, an indication of whether or not the hypothetical link is avalid link between the first information concept entity and the secondinformation concept entity based on the aggregate answer result for thehypothetical link may further comprise outputting a graphical userinterface representation of the updated ontology. The graphical userinterface representation may comprise graphical user interface elementsfor drilling down into information about supporting evidence for thehypothetical link in the updated ontology.

It should be noted that, just as hypothetical links between informationconcepts may be identified by identifying sub-links, scoring them, andthen aggregating the scores to identify a score for the link as a whole,a reverse approach may also be utilized to classify or categorize ahypothetical ontological link into a category of the particular type ofhypothetical ontological link. For example, a hypothetical ontologicallink may have a general type of “knows” between two person informationconcepts. However, as noted above, there may be many different ways thatperson A “knows” person B such that the particular “knows” relationshipmay be categorized. For example, person A may have a personalrelationship with person B, an acquaintance relationship, a professionalrelationship, etc. Scoring of the hypothetical ontological link may takeinto consideration various characteristics of the evidence used togenerate the score for the hypothetical ontological link, and/or thesub-links that aggregate to form the hypothetical ontological link,including, for example, time of day of communications, location, type oflocation (e.g., personal residence, business location, etc.), durationof engagements (e.g., lives, works, plays, patronizes), types ofactivity at the location, e.g., credit card charges, work activities,etc. All of this information may be analyzed and scored to generate ascore for various classifications of the hypothetical ontological linkto thereby determine that, while the hypothetical ontological link maybe generally that person A “knows” person B, the category of this“knows” relationship is either “personal,” “acquaintance,”“professional”, or the like. Similar types of categorizations of variousother types of hypothetical ontological links may likewise be made basedon other types of characteristics of the hypothetical ontological links.

A user may be presented with notifications of the identification andevaluation of hypothetical ontological links, and may be presented witha representation 482 of the updated ontology 460, via a graphical userinterface 480. The user may interact with the ontology 460, such as viagraphical user interface elements or the like, to drill down into theevidence associated with various links of the ontology 460. Thisprovides greater insight to the user of the reasoning for certain linksand provides a basis upon which additional hypothetical links may beevaluated. For example, having determined that a person John Smith knowsCarl Carter through the mechanisms previously described, additionaltypes of hypothetical ontological links may be evaluated by the user,e.g., the user may then request that the system of the illustrativeembodiments evaluate hypothetical ontological links between Carl Carterand a particular event, e.g., a robbery of Al's Electronics, since itmay be known that John Smith is a suspect in the event and the link toCarl Carter indicates a possibility that Carl Carter may have also beeninvolved in the event.

Thus, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments provide the abilityto automatically identify and evaluate hypothetical ontological linksbetween information concepts. This provides a tool for analysts toexplore possible links between information concepts as well as allowsthe system to automatically inform analysts of possible links betweeninformation concepts that the analysts may not have previouslycontemplated. In addition, the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments provide identification and evaluation of hypotheticalontological links so as to give insight to analysts as to additionaltypes of hypothetical ontological links to investigate, i.e. additionallines of questioning to investigate.

As touched upon above, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodimentsutilize various question generation techniques and link scoringtechniques to evaluate hypothetical ontological links. With regard toquestion generation, as noted above, based on the characteristics of thehypothetical ontological link and information concept objects inquestion, a particular set of question templates corresponding to thesecharacteristics may be selected. Moreover, as noted above, one techniquethat may be utilized to customize the set of question templates actuallyused to evaluate the hypothetical ontological link includes question setpruning With regard to scoring, various techniques for generating ascore for a hypothetical ontological link may be utilized individuallyor in combination including aggregation of sub-link scores, link scoringbased on corroboration of evidence, link scoring based on certainty ofstatements within the evidence, and the like. Furthermore, as notedabove, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments facilitatemodifying the corpora based on an evaluation of the veracity of thesources and the generation of different lines of questioning based onthe evaluation of a previous line of questioning, e.g., a previouslyevaluated hypothetical ontological link. Each of these will be describedin greater detail hereafter.

Question Set Pruning

As mentioned above, question sets may be established in the questiontemplates database 422 for particular combinations of types ofhypothetical ontological links and information concepts. For example,assuming that a hypothetical ontological link involves two informationconcepts A and B, and a relationship between these two informationconcepts C, a triplet of (A, B, C) may be correlated to a particular setof question templates T. Hence the question templates database 422 maycomprise entries specifying (A, B, C, T) where T may comprise aplurality of question templates. Thus, for example, an entry in thequestion templates database 422 may be of the type (person 1, person 2,knows, question set 1) indicating a hypothetical ontological link ofperson 1 knows person 2 and the corresponding question set 1 being theset of question templates to use to evaluate this hypotheticalontological link. It should be appreciated that such entries may be usedfor sub-links of a hypothetical ontological link as well to evaluate thesub-links which are then aggregated to generate a score for thehypothetical ontological link as a whole.

The set of question templates may be generic in nature for general typesof information concepts and hypothetical ontological links. Thus, theset of question templates may cover a wide variety of hypotheticalontological links and information concepts of particular types. Thesesets of question templates may be further filtered and pruned so as togenerate a sub-set of question templates that is further customized tothe particular information concepts and hypothetical ontological linksbeing evaluated. To do so, question set pruning logic 425 of thequestion generator 420 may further evaluate characteristics 411 and 415of the specific information concept objects 414 and hypotheticalontological link 412 and compare these characteristics tocharacteristics 421 associated with question templates in an initiallyselected set of question templates 422 to thereby select questiontemplates within the initially selected set of question templates to beincluded in a sub-set of question templates that is customized to theparticular information concept objects 414 and hypothetical ontologicallink 412. This subset of question templates may then be populated withspecific information about the specifically selected information conceptobjects 414 and hypothetical ontological link 412 to generate questionset 424 for evaluation.

For example, these characteristics 415 of information concepts 414 mayinclude the occupation of the persons involved, a classification of theperson involved as being a victim, witness, bystander, suspect, or thelike, a classification of a location as being a retail establishment,financial institution, business location, residential location, or thelike, or any other characteristic that may be used to differentiate onequestion template from another as to its applicability to a particulartype of information concept object (instance of an information concept).The same is true for the hypothetical ontological link characteristics411. For example, a hypothetical ontological link may have acharacteristic 411 of a type of relationship between the informationconcepts, e.g. a general hypothetical ontological link of “located at”between a person and a location may have characteristics of “lives at”,“works at”, “frequents”, “shops at”, and the like.

These characteristics 411 and 415 may be used by the question setpruning logic 425 of the question generator 420 to select questiontemplates, from an initial set of question templates 422, thatcorrespond to a general classification of the information conceptobjects 414 and hypothetical ontological link 412, that are specific tothe particular characteristics 411 and 415 of the information conceptsand hypothetical ontological link. The characteristics 411 and 415 arecompared against the characteristics 421 of the question templates 422to identify matches between the characteristics 411 and 415, and thecharacteristics 421. For those question templates in the initial set ofquestion templates 422 that have a matching characteristic, the questiontemplate is selected for inclusion in a sub-set of question templatesthat is used to generate question set 424. Thus, for example, an initialset of question templates specific to a person 1 knowing person 2 may beselected from the question templates 422 and may then be pruned orfiltered by the question set pruning logic 425 of the question generator420 to a sub-set of question templates corresponding specifically to asuspect being related to a witness, e.g., a question template includedin the sub-set may be of the type “person 1 was incarcerated with person2” in this situation whereas this question template may not be includedin a sub-set for a hypothetical link of information concepts of awitness and a bystander.

In some illustrative embodiments, the specification of a hypotheticalontological link between information concepts is characterized as ascenario that is selected by a user or automated mechanism. For example,the scenario may be that John Smith robbed Al's Electronics which isthen represented as a hypothetical ontological link between theinformation concept object “John Smith” and the information conceptobject “Al's Electronics” with a hypothetical ontological link type of“robbed”. From this scenario and the designation of a person informationconcept and a location information concept, a set of correspondingquestion templates may comprise question templates for questioning abouta variety of different types of robberies of different types oflocations by different types of persons. The pruning of the initial setof questions 422 by the question set pruning logic 425 of the questiongenerator 420 may compare characteristics 411 and 415 to characteristics421 of the question templates. For example, the initial set of questions422 may comprise questions regarding the robbery of a financialinstitution which may have very different set of facts andcharacteristics from a robbery of a retail establishment, e.g.,electronic funds or physical money is generally the target of a robberyof a financial institution while a robbery of a retail establishmentoften involves stealing of physical items or physical money.

Thus, in the above scenario of John Smith robbing Al's Electronics,since Al's Electronics is a retail electronics store, an investigatorwould not be interested in whether or not John Smith accessed a computernetwork of Al's Electronic store because that is less likely to provideany information about whether John actually robbed Al's Electronics ornot (although in some cases this may be of interest if there is evidencethat a security system were overrided or the like). However, a questionabout whether John was present in Al's Electronics on or about the timeof the robbery would be much more pertinent since the robbery of Al'sElectronics is most likely directed to the physical removal of propertyfrom the premises of Al's Electronics. Thus, question templates 422directed to questioning about the physical presence of John Smith atAl's Electronics will have characteristics 421 that matchcharacteristics of Al's Electronics and John Smith whereas questiontemplates directed to accessing computer networks remotely will not havecharacteristics that match Al's Electronics and/or John Smith.

It should be appreciated that multiple characteristics may be evaluatedand a degree of matching may be evaluated to determine whether toinclude a question template in the sub-set of question templates.Thresholds for matching may be established to provide criteria by whichto determine whether to include the question template in a sub-set ofquestion templates. Thus, for example, a degree of matching thresholdmay require a plurality of characteristics to be matched for thequestion template to be included in the sub-set of question templates,or certain more important characteristics. Weights may be associatedwith different characteristics to specify a relative importance of onecharacteristic to another when performing such matching for question setpruning Hence, sub-sets of question may be generated that are morespecific and pertinent to the particular hypothetical ontological linkand information concept objects being evaluated.

Thus, in addition to the other mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments for evaluating hypothetical ontological links in anontology, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may furtherprovide for the customization of sets of questions for evaluating aparticular hypothetical ontological link, or sub-link, through a pruningof filtering process to identify question templates that are specific tothe particular link and information concept entities being evaluated.Hence, in some illustrative embodiments, a process for generating a setof questions to evaluate a link between concept entities comprisesreceiving a set of evidential data specifying a plurality of informationconcept entities, generating a hypothetical link between at least twoinformation concept entities in the plurality of information conceptentities (where the hypothetical link represents a scenario involvingthe at least two information concept entities), retrieving a set ofquestions corresponding to the hypothetical link between the at leasttwo information concept entities, and pruning or filtering the set ofquestions into a subset of questions based on the at least one ofcharacteristics of the hypothetical link or characteristics of the atleast two information concept entities. The operations further compriseprocessing the pruned or filtered set of questions based on a corpus ofevidence to thereby generate a measure of support for or against thehypothetical link being an actual link between the at least twoinformation concept entities and outputting a validity indication forthe hypothetical link indicating whether or not the hypothetical link isan actual link between the at least two information concept entities.

The set of questions may be associated with a general scenario typeassociated with the hypothetical link and the pruned set of questionsmay be specific to the particular scenario of the hypothetical link. Theset of questions may be generated by performing a lookup in a questiontemplate database of types of the information concept entities and atype of a relationship specified by the hypothetical link to identify aset of question templates corresponding to the types of informationconcept entities and type of relationship. Pruning the set of questionsinto a subset of questions based on the at least one of characteristicsof the hypothetical link or characteristics of the at least twoinformation concept entities may further comprise comparingcharacteristics of the hypothetical link or characteristics of the atleast two information concept entities to characteristics associatedwith question templates in the set of question templates and selectingquestion templates, from the set of question templates, that have atleast one characteristic that matches at least one characteristic of thehypothetical link or at least one characteristic of the at least twoinformation concept entities.

The operations may further comprise populating fields of the selectedquestion templates with information from at least one of the informationconcept entities or the hypothetical link to generate the pruned set ofquestions. The characteristics of the at least two information conceptentities may comprise an occupation associated with each of theinformation concept entities, a classification of the informationconcept entity as being a victim, witness, bystander, or suspect, or aclassification of a location represented by an information conceptentity. The characteristics of the hypothetical link may comprise a typeof relationship between the information concept entities represented bythe hypothetical link.

Corpora Management Based on Grading of Sources

As mentioned above, another aspect of the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments is the ability to manage the corpora used to evaluatehypothetical ontological links, and question sets associated with theevaluation of hypothetical ontological links, based on a grading of thesources of the content (evidence) present in the corpora 470. A corporamanagement engine 490 may be provided for this purpose. The corporamanagement engine 490 comprises logic for evaluating characteristics ofsources of content in the corpora 470 and determining whether or not tomodify weights associated with these sources, request and ingestadditional content from these sources, and/or remove content from thesesources, based on a grading of the sources. This corpora managementengine 490 may then provide this weighting or results of source gradingevaluation to the link scoring and analyzer engine 440 for use inscoring sub-links and/or the hypothetical ontological link as a whole,for example. The weightings based on the source grading may be combinedwith other scoring criteria to generate scores for links, such ascorroboration scoring criteria, certainty of statements scoringcriteria, and the like. The corpus management engine 490, depending onthe grading of the sources may then either temporarily or permanentlymodify the corpora 470 being used to evaluate candidate answers to thequestion set 424 and/or the sub-links and hypothetical ontological linkas a whole.

In grading the sources of content in the corpora 470, the corporamanagement engine 490 maintains various characteristics about varioussources of content within the corpora and evaluates thesecharacteristics. For example, current characteristics of the sources aswell as results from previous utilizations of content from those sourcesmay be evaluated to determine the veracity of the source and thelikelihood that continued reliance on content from that source will givegood results during question set 424 evaluation and scoring. As oneexample, if the source is a witness to a particular event, an evaluationof the person's occupation, previous content provided by the person(e.g., statements made regarding other events or the same event), thecontribution of the previous content to a good result being generated bythe mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments, and the like, may beevaluated to determine whether to give a current statement (piece ofcontent or evidence in the corpora 470) by the witness a high or lowweighting with regard to the grading of the reliability of the contentand the credibility of the source. If the person were a police officer,then the credibility of the person's statements (content or evidence)would be more highly graded as reliable and credible. If the personpreviously provided good content/evidence for previous evaluations, thenthe grading of the person as a source would be increased and, as aresult, the content provided by that person would be more highlyweighted as reliable and credible.

In one illustrative embodiment, the grading of sources performed by thecorpora management engine 490 may make use of a source profile directorythat maintains the various characteristics of the various sources. Thesource itself may be a human source, an electronic source, e.g., adatabase, web page, blog, or the like. Each source has a correspondingconfigurable source profile in the profile directory which details theattributes that are used to determine the grade of the source using oneor more grading formula or equations. An example of a profile for ahuman being source may be of a type such as:

Name: John Doe

Role: Informant

Number of Engagements: 3

Truthful Information Count: 8

Occupation: Salesman

Age: 35

Address: 4 Acacia Avenue, London, UK

Previous Convictions: 1

Payout Count: $1000

Such a source profile can be generated, at least in part, manually by aninvestigator or other authorized user that is working with theinformant. Moreover, this source profile may also be, at leastpartially, populated with information gathered automatically from othersystems via network connections, such as a law enforcement database orother private or governmental computing system. For example, a user maymanually enter part of the information of the source profile, e.g., aname, social security number, Media Access Control (MAC) address,Internet Protocol (IP) address, or other uniquely identifying attributeof the source, and this information may be used to perform a lookupoperation automatically in network attached information systems toobtain additional information to populate the source profile.

It should be appreciated that the above example source profile is onlyan example and many modifications to the above example profile may bemade without departing from the spirit and scope of the presentinvention. In fact, in actual operation, source profiles may containmany more fields for specifying many more attributes than that shownsuch that a more detailed profile may be established. Moreover,different source profile templates may be created for different types ofsources, e.g., different templates for different human sources, e.g.,witnesses, investigators, informants, etc. and different templates fordifferent electronic sources of information, e.g., news websites, socialmedia websites, and the like.

Each characteristic of the source may be evaluated in accordance withestablished logic in the corpora management engine 490 to ultimatelygenerate a grading for the source and a weight to be applied tocontent/evidence provided by that source. The resulting grading/weightmay be provided to the link scoring and analyzer engine 440 which maythen utilize this grading/weight to further evaluate the evidence 438when determining a final scoring for the hypothetical ontological link.That is, as one component of the scoring performed by the link scoringand analyzer engine 440, the grading of the source and its associatedweight value for weighting supporting evidence 438 evaluations, may beincluded when generating a score for sub-links and the hypotheticalontological link. Other factors including corroboration, certainty ofstatements, and the like, may also be utilized as components of thisscoring, as discussed hereafter.

In addition to providing the grading/weight of sources to the linkscoring and analyzer engine 440, the corpora management engine 490 mayfurther compare the grading of the source to one or more thresholdcriteria to determine if the grading of the source equals or falls belowa first threshold indicative of a need to remove the source from thecorpora 470, or if the grading of the source equals or exceeds a secondthreshold indicative of a desire to add additional content to thecorpora 470 from this source. For example, if it is determined that thesource's grading is so bad, i.e. has been determined to be not reliableor credible and actually detracts from the proper operation of themechanisms of the illustrative embodiments, as to warrant removal of thesource, then all content in the corpora 470 that is attributable to thatsource may be removed from the corpora 470. In one embodiment, this mayinvolve the actual overwriting of the source's content in the corpora470, marking the source's content as invalid, setting a weightassociated with the source and the source's content to zero, orotherwise effectively removing the source's content from furtherconsideration and evaluation by the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments.

If, on the other hand, the source is determined to be highly reliableand credible through the grading mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments, then the corpora management engine 490 may output a requestto obtain more content from that source. This request may be in the formof a notification to a user specifying the source and the grading of thesource with information indicating a desire to obtain additional contentfrom that source. This may serve as a notification to the user orinvestigator as to which sources provide reliable and credibleinformation and may be the source of additional reliable and credibleinformation. Alternatively, the request may be an automated request thatis transmitted to the actual source so that the source may then provideadditional content for ingestion into the corpora 470. For example, ifthe source is a particular location determination service, e.g., aparticular global positioning system service, then additional locationcontent may be ingested into the corpora 470 from that source for use inevaluating the current and future hypothetical ontological links. Inthis way, not only is the scoring of the sub-links and hypotheticalontological link influenced by the reliability and credibility of thesources of information in the corpora 470, but the corpora 470 itselfmay be managed to improve the operation of mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments using an improved corpora 470.

Thus, in addition to the other mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments, in some illustrative embodiments mechanisms are providedfor evaluating the sources of evidence in the corpus to adjust weightsassociated with the evidence provided by those sources as well as manageand curate the corpus by adding additional evidence data from thesource, eliminating evidence from the source, or maintaining the amountof evidence obtained from that source based on the determined grading ofthe source. Hence, in some illustrative embodiments, mechanisms areprovided for evaluating an evidential statement in a corpus of evidenceby receiving an evidential statement for determining a level ofconfidence in a hypothetical ontological link of an ontology,identifying a source of the evidential statement, determining a gradingof a source of the evidential statement based on a source gradingmeasurement value indicative of a degree of reliability and credibilityof the source, generating an indication of trustworthiness of theevidential statement based on the source grading measurement value, andoutputting a representation of the indication of trustworthiness of theevidential statement in association with the evidential statement.Grading the source of the evidential statement may comprise generating aweight value to be applied to confidence scores calculated for answersto questions generated based on evidential statements in the corpusassociated with the source.

As noted above, these mechanisms may further manage a corpus of evidencedata based on the grading of the source of the evidential statement.Managing the corpus may comprise one of maintaining an amount ofevidence data from the source in the corpus, increasing the amount ofevidence data from the source that is in the corpus, or decreasing theamount of evidence data from the source in the corpus. Managing thecorpus of evidence data may comprise comparing the source gradingmeasurement value to one or more predetermined threshold values andperforming a corpus management operation based on results of thecomparison. In response to the comparison indicating that the sourcegrading measurement value is above a first threshold, the mechanisms ofthe illustrative embodiments may ingest addition evidence data from thesource into the corpus. In response to the comparison indicating thatthe source grading measurement value is above a first threshold, themechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may send a request to a userspecifying the source and the source grading measurement value and arecommendation to obtain additional evidence data from the source. Inresponse to the comparison indicating that the source gradingmeasurement is below a second threshold, the mechanisms may removeevidence data associated with the source from the corpus. The corpus maybe managed to temporarily modify the corpus being used to evaluatecandidate answers to a question set used to evaluate a hypotheticalontological link of an ontology.

Determining the grading of the source may comprise evaluating currentand historical characteristics of the source. The historicalcharacteristics of the source may comprise information indicative ofresults from previous utilizations of evidence data from the source whenevaluating answers to previously processed questions. The current andhistorical characteristics may be maintained in a source profile datastructure of a source directory associated with the data processingsystem. The source profile data structure may store data indicating anumber of previous uses of evidence data from the source and a number ofprevious positive uses of the evidence data from the source, forexample.

Link Scoring Based on Corroboration

As mentioned above, the link scoring and analyzer engine 440 operates onthe answers 434, their confidence scores 436, and the supportingevidence 438 to evaluate the sub-links, aggregate the scores of thesub-links, and generate a score for the hypothetical ontological linkwhich may then be used by the ontology modification engine 450 todetermine whether to promote the hypothetical ontological link 412 to anactual link 464 in the ontology data structure 460 or to eliminate thehypothetical ontological link 412 as a possible link in the ontology. Asdiscussed above, one factor that may be utilized by the link scoring andanalyzer engine 440 to generate the score for the hypotheticalontological link with regard to evaluating the supporting evidence 438is the grading of the source of the evidence 438. The source gradingcomponent of the scoring may be performed by source scoring logic 442 ofthe link scoring and analyzer engine 440.

In addition, the sub-links and hypothetical ontological link 412 mayfurther be scored in accordance with an evaluation of corroboratingevidence and certainty of statements within the supporting evidence 438.These components may be evaluated by the corroboration scoring logic 444and certainty scoring logic 446 of the link scoring and analyzer engine440. It should be appreciated that while this logic 442-446 is shown asseparate elements within link scoring and analyzer engine 440, thislogic may be integrated with one another. Thus, in some embodiments, allof these factors may be evaluated for scoring while in others, subsetsof these factors may be utilized when scoring sub-links and thehypothetical ontological link 412.

With regard to the scoring links based on the corroboration of evidence,the logic 444 evaluates statements in evidence 438 from the same anddifferent sources to determine statement equivalence, i.e. similarfacts/conclusions being specified in different statements. That is, anevidential statement for which corroboration is sought is received andthe corpus of evidence data is processed to determine a measure ofcorroboration of the evidential statement by other evidence data in thecorpus of evidence data. The measure of corroboration quantifies anevaluation of an amount of evidence, by one or more sources, preferablysources other than the source of the evidential statement beingevaluated, in the other evidence data, that describes a same fact orconclusion as presented in the evidential statement. An indication oftrustworthiness of the evidential statement is then generated based onthe measure of corroboration of the evidential statement by the otherevidence data in the corpus of evidence data. This indication oftrustworthiness may be output in association with the evidentialstatement so as to indicate whether the evidential statement is able tobe trusted. The indication of trustworthiness may further be used tomodify scoring associated with the evidential statement.

In determining whether two or more statements are equivalent, and thuscorroborate one another, the logic 444 analyzes various characteristicsof the statements to determine if they ultimately are specifying thesame or similar facts and/or conclusions. In so doing, for example, thelogic 444 looks for sentence structure equality, lexical answer type(LAT) equality, focus equality, conclusion equality, time proximity ofthe statements, and the like. The sentence structure of one statementmay be evaluated to determine the format of the statement and thisformat may be compared to a format of another statement to determine ifthe formats match significantly. Similar comparisons may be made withregard to LAT, focus, and conclusion. Various resources may be utilizedwhen evaluating equality including synonym databases, antonym databases,dictionary data structures, and the like. Thus, a direct word-for-wordequality is not necessary for two statements to be consideredequivalent, but rather an equivalence of the resulting facts andconclusions is what is necessary.

If two statements in the evidence 438 are determined to be sufficientlyequivalent, i.e. an equivalency score generated by comparing the variouscharacteristics of the statements to one another to determine the degreeof matching which higher matching statements having higher equivalencyscores, then further evaluation of the statements with regard to thegrading of the sources of the statements (as described above),determination of relevance to the sub-link or hypothetical ontologicallink being evaluated, the source type, and time proximity may beperformed. For example, if the statements are sufficiently equivalent,the corroboration scoring of the statements may be further modifiedbased on the grading of the sources of the statements according to thereliability and credibility of these sources in the manner previouslydescribed above. For example, if one of the statements is made by apolice officer, that police officer's statement may be given a greatercorroboration score than it otherwise would have due to the source beinga police officer who is assumed to be reliable and credible. Similarly,since the other statement, which may be made by another witness to theevent, is corroborated by a statement from a police officer, the otherstatement from the witness may have its corroboration score increased aswell. That is, the characteristics of one source of an equivalentstatement may be used to affect the scoring of the other equivalentstatement.

With regard to relevance, the statements may be evaluated for relevanceto the particular sub-link or hypothetical ontological link for whichthey are being used as supporting evidence. Even though a statement maybe corroborated by other statements by other sources, and may besupporting evidence for a particular sub-link, the statement may not infact be relevant to the sub-link or hypothetical ontological link beingevaluated. For example, a specific link type of “knows” between conceptA (John) and concept B (Mary) can be evaluated by corroboratedstatements that concept A (John) visits concept B's (Mary's) place ofworship, which is referred to as concept “X” (e.g., First Bible Church).This can be corroborated by statements from concept C (Texas InternalRevenue Service Office #435), e.g., a governmental tax collection agencycomputing system, or the like, that concept A (John) pays tithes at thesame place of worship according to tax returns filed by concept A(John). A further corroborated evidence that may be obtained is thatconcept D (First Bank of Texas), e.g., a banking organization'scomputing system, corroborates that concept A (John) contributes toconcept X (First Bible Church), e.g., as may be determined from bankstatement information associated with concept A's (John's) bankingaccounts.

Although the link types corroborate payments which would give aconfirmation for associated with concept X (First Bible Church), thecorroboration from these link types have a smaller relevance to the“knows” link between John and Mary due to the nature of the link and thecharacteristics of concept X (First Bible Church). That is, just becauseJohn goes to the same church as Mary does not mean that John necessarily“knows” Mary. The relevance for a concept is higher if the concept hasdirect ownership or relation to the entity. For example, concept B(Mary) visits concept Z (John's Home), e.g., a residence of concept A(John), and concept Z (John's Home) is owned by concept A (John) wouldhave a higher relevance score. Thus, the criteria for evaluating therelevance of a corroborating statement will include directrelationships, ownership characteristics, and containmentcharacteristics, and the like, depending on the entity type. If acorroborated statement has a link type between two concepts, anevaluation of a second link type which uses the corroborated statementsfrom the first link type will be reduced if there are no directrelationships, ownership characteristics, or containment characteristicsfrom the interested concept to one of the concepts in the first link.Some illustrative embodiments can reduce the impact of corroboratingevidence due to relevance evaluations by using a ratio to reduce thecorroboration score value depending on a lack of a relevance criteria.

Another modifier that can be used is the characteristics of the entityand the probability of the link type occurring. For example a buildingsize, population within the building, and the like of the building canbe used to determine probability scores for locations. Regarding theevaluation of the time proximity of equivalent statements, the timing ofthe statements, e.g., author date or other date/time associated with theproviding of the statements in the evidence, may be evaluated withregard to each other, the facts/conclusions that they are referencing,and with regard to the sub-links or hypothetical ontological link beingevaluated. That is, if two statements are given at close to the sametime and regarding a same event happening at a same time, then thestatements are more corroborating than if the statements are given atdifferent times and regarding different events happening at differenttimes. For example, if one witness is interviewed on February 9^(th) andstates “I saw John Smith driving the car on February 7^(th)” and anotherwitness is interview on March 5^(th) and states “I saw John Smithdriving a truck on February 14^(th)” these statements are lesscorroborating of one another than if the statements were made at closertimes to one another regarding events that happened on the same day.Thus, timing characteristics of the statements may be evaluated todetermine whether the time characteristics are more or less indicativeof corroboration of the statements.

It should be noted that while closely matching statements tend to bemore indicative of corroboration of the facts/conclusions identified inthese statements, too high a similarity of statements may in fact beindicative of less corroboration and more collusion or copying ofstatements from one source to another. That is, if two witness arecolluding with one another to compose a set of facts that are in factnot true, then they may agree upon a statement that each would make tosupport that false set of facts. As a result, highly similar statementswould be provided by two separate sources. The mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments may identify such high levels of similarity instatements and in fact set thresholds indicating that if thecorroboration score meets or exceeds this threshold, a warningnotification may be output or associated with the sub-link orhypothetical ontological link being evaluated to thereby warn the userthat potential collusion may be present. In addition, or alternatively,a reduction in score of the corresponding evidence may be made tothereby illustrate a lack of confidence in the statements even thoughthey are highly corroborative of one another.

Thus, with the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments, corroborationof statements in supporting evidence is evaluated to generate acorroboration score for the evidence which is then used to further scorethe sub-links and hypothetical ontological link to determine if theevidence is supporting of the hypothetical ontological link being anactual link in the ontology or not. The corroboration is one factor indetermining the trustworthiness of the evidence along with credibilityof the source of the evidence and certainty of the statementsthemselves.

For example, assume that there are three witnesses to an event. WitnessA provides the statement “the driver of the car looked like John Smith”.Witness B provides the statement “I saw John drive the truck”. Witness Cprovides the statement “the car was driven by a young African Americanman.” These statements may not, on their face be corroborating sincethey are not the exact same statement. However, through analysis ofthese statements the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments maydetermine that truck and car are synonymous in most instances for theterm “vehicle,” both statements reference the name “John” and that“John” was the driver of the vehicle. Thus, the statements of WitnessesA and B are determined to in fact be referring to the same set of factsand are corroborating of one another. From analysis of the thirdstatement, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may determinethat the statement refers to a “man” and that the name “John” in thefirst two statements is a male name indicating additional corroborationby the third statement. Moreover, the third statement is also referringto the “man” as being a driver of a vehicle. Through further analysis ofJohn Smith's characteristics as may be present in association with theinformation concept object for John Smith, it may be determined thatJohn Smith is in fact an African American and has a current age of 24.As a result, the third statement may be determined to be corroboratingof the other two statements.

In looking at the sources of these statements, it may be determined thatthe first statement was made by a person that has no ascertainablerelationship with John Smith and has previously given false statements,the second statement was made by a friend of John Smith who was presentat the event, and the third statement was made by a police officer thatwitnessed the event. From this information, the score associated withthe first statement may be reduced due to the lack of credibility andreliability of the source of the first statement while the scores of thesecond and third statements may be increased due to the credibility andreliability of these sources and the corroboration of each of thesestatements with the other.

As noted above, the corroboration scores generated by the mechanisms ofthe illustrative embodiments may be used to influence the scores of thesub-links and hypothetical ontological link. In addition, oralternatively, the corroboration scores may be provided separately tothe ontology modification engine 450 for inclusion in the GUI 480 thatis output. In this way, not only is the user of the GUI 480 giveninformation about the modifications to the ontology 482 but also may begiven corroboration scores to indicate the level of trustworthiness inthe hypothetical ontological link and its scoring.

Thus, when evaluating a hypothetical ontological link in accordance withillustrative embodiments set forth herein, in addition to the mechanismsdescribed above, additional mechanisms are provided for evaluating theevidential statements, in the corpus of evidence used to evaluate thehypothetical ontological link, for corroboration by other evidentialstatements within the corpus. In some illustrative embodiments, thisinvolves receiving a first evidential statement for which corroborationis sought, processing a corpus of evidence data to determine a measureof corroboration of the first evidential statement by other evidencedata in the corpus of evidence data, generating an indication oftrustworthiness of the first evidential statement based on the measureof corroboration of the first evidential statement by the other evidencedata in the corpus of evidence data, and outputting a representation ofthe indication of the trustworthiness of the first evidential statementin association with the first evidential statement. The measure ofcorroboration quantifies an evaluation of an amount of evidence, by oneor more sources other than a source of the first evidential statement,in the other evidence data, that describes a same or similar fact orconclusion as presented in the first evidential statement.

Processing the corpus of evidence data may further comprise analyzingthe first evidential statement to identify one or more firstcharacteristics of the first evidential statement, selecting a secondevidential statement from the corpus of evidence data, analyzing thesecond evidential statement to identify one or more secondcharacteristics of the second evidential statement, comparing the one ormore first characteristics with the one or more second characteristicsto determine a degree of matching of the one or more firstcharacteristics with the one or more second characteristics, andgenerating a corroboration value based on the degree of matching. Theone or more first characteristics comprise at least one of a sentencestructure of the first evidential statement, a lexical answer type ofthe first evidential statement, a focus of the first evidentialstatement, a conclusion of the first evidential statement, or a timeproximity of the first evidential statement.

Generating the corroboration value may further comprise determining ifthe corroboration value associated with the comparison of the firstevidential statement and the second evidential statement is equal to orexceeds a predetermined threshold corroboration value and, in responseto the corroboration value equaling or exceeding the predeterminedthreshold corroboration value, performing further analysis of the firstevidential statement and second evidential statement to generate amodified corroboration value. Performing further analysis of the firstevidential statement and second evidential statement to generate themodified corroboration value may comprise at least one of: grading afirst source of the first evidential statement and grading a secondsource of the second evidential statement; determining a relevance ofthe first evidential statement and second evidential statement to ahypothetical ontological link of an ontology for which the firstevidential statement is used as supporting evidence; evaluating a sourcetype of the first source and a source type of the second source; orevaluating a time proximity of the first evidential statement with thesecond evidential statement.

Generating the indication of trustworthiness of the first evidentialstatement further may comprise evaluating a first source of the firstevidential statement and a second source of the second evidentialstatement based on at least one of an occupation of a first person thatis the first source and an occupation of a second person that is thesecond source, or a reputation of the first person and reputation of thesecond person. Generating the indication of trustworthiness of the firstevidential statement may further comprise evaluating a relevance of thefirst evidential statement and second evidential statement to ahypothetical ontological link of an ontology for which the firstevidential statement is used as supporting evidence. The relevance maybe evaluated according to direct relationships, ownershipcharacteristics, and containment characteristics within the firstevidential statement and second evidential statement.

Processing the corpus of evidence data may comprise comparing the degreeof matching to a first threshold to determine if the degree of matchingis sufficient to indicate corroboration of the first evidentialstatement by the second evidential statement, and comparing the degreeof matching to a second threshold to determine if the degree of matchingindicates a copying of at least a portion of the first evidentialstatement by the second evidential statement or a portion of the secondevidential statement by the first evidential statement. In response tothe degree of matching being equal to or greater than the secondthreshold, the indication of trustworthiness of the first evidentialstatement is reduced.

Link Scoring Based on Certainty Statements

As mentioned above, in addition to the evaluation of the source ofevidence and the corroboration of the evidence, an additionalconsideration performed during the scoring of the supporting evidencefor a sub-link or hypothetical ontological link is to analyze thelanguage of the evidence itself to determine a level of certainty in thelanguage indicative of a trustworthiness or veracity of thefacts/conclusions specified in the evidence. In so doing, the certaintylogic 446 of the link scoring and analyzer engine 440 may performnatural language processing on the evidence 438 to identify patterns ofterms in the evidence 438 that are recognizable as patterns indicativeof various levels of certainty. For example, the use of terms such as “Isaw” or “I heard” or the like may be indicative of a first-hand accountand a higher level of certainty than other types of terms, such as “Ithink” or “may be” or “looked like”. These latter terms may berecognizable patterns indicative of low certainty of the correspondingevidence and are referred to as “hedging” terms, phrases, or textualpatterns since the source is equivocating the certainty of the facts orconclusions made in the statement.

The certainty logic 446 may have a database of patterns and terms thatare matched to corresponding levels of certainty, e.g., certain, notcertain, or undetermined certainty. The certainty logic 446 may performpattern matching or term matching with the patterns and terms identifiedin the evidence 438 to determine if the scores associated with theevidence should be increased, decreased, or remain unmodified based onthe determined degree of certainty in the evidence itself. If patternsor terms in the evidence 438 match patterns/terms recognized by thecertainty logic 446 as high certainty patterns/terms, then the scoresassociated with that evidence may be increased by a certainty weightingfactor corresponding to the particular certainty patterns/terms that arematched, e.g., one certainty pattern may have an associated firstcertainty weighting factor associated with it in the database ofpatterns/terms while another certainty pattern may have an associatedsecond certainty weighting factor different from the first certaintyweighting factor. If patterns or terms in the evidence 438 matchpatterns/terms recognized by the certainty logic 446 as low certaintypatterns/terms, then the scores associated with that evidence may bedecreased by a certainty weighting factor corresponding to theparticular certainty patterns/terms that are matched. Otherpatterns/terms may result in no modification of the scores of theevidence.

Thus, looking at the example statements of Witness A-C above, WitnessA's statement that “the driver of the car looked like John Smith” isindicative of a low certainty since the witness cannot state for a factthat it was John Smith that was driving the car, only that it lookedliked John Smith. Thus, witness A's evidence scoring would be decreasedby the certainty weight. Witness B's statement of “I saw John drive thetruck” is much more certain in that it provides a first hand accountwith definitive statement that it was John that drove the truck. Thus,Witness B's statement would be modified to increase its scoring by thecertainty weight. Witness C provides the statement “the car was drivenby a young African American man” and does not use a pattern recognizableas providing certainty or non-certainty and would thus, not have itsscoring modified by a certainty weighting. Hence in addition to thescoring of evidence based on veracity of the source and corroboration,the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may further factor intothe scoring the intrinsic certainty of the evidence itself

Thus, in addition to the mechanisms previously described links betweeninformation concept objects or entities may be further evaluated byevaluating the corpus of evidence data with regard to intrinsiccertainty terms, phrases, or textual patterns so as to adjust thescoring of links based on a determined level of intrinsic certainty inthe supporting evidence. For example, in some illustrative embodiments,when evaluating a link between information concept entities, theevaluation may comprise receiving a set of evidential data specifying aplurality of information concept entities, generating a link between atleast two information concept entities in the set of evidential data,and evaluating the set of evidential data with regard to whether or notthe set of evidential data supports or refutes the link. The evaluationof the set of evidential data may comprise analyzing language of naturallanguage statements in the set of evidential data to identify certaintyterms within the natural language statements. In addition, theevaluation of the link may comprise calculating a confidence value forthe link based on results of the evaluation of the set of evidentialdata and generating a knowledge output based on the link and theconfidence value associated with the link.

The certainty terms may comprise first-hand account terms or phrasesindicative of a first-hand account being specified in the evidentialdata. Calculating the confidence value for the link based on results ofthe evaluation of the set of evidential data may comprise increasing aconfidence value for the link in response to detecting first-handaccount terms or phrases in the evidential data. Moreover, the certaintyterms may comprise hedging terms or phrases indicative of a lack ofcertainty in the facts or conclusion specified in the evidential data.In such a case, calculating the confidence value for the link based onresults of the evaluation of the set of evidential data comprisesdecreasing a confidence value for the link in response to detectinghedging terms or phrases in the evidential data.

A database of patterns of certainty terms and phrases may be maintainedwhere each pattern in the database is associated with a correspondinglevel of certainty, and where evaluating the set of evidential data mayfurther comprise matching patterns of terms or phrases in the evidentialdata to corresponding patterns in the database of patterns. The level ofcertainty for each of the patterns in the database, in one illustrativeembodiment, may be one of the following levels of certainty: certain,not certain, or undetermined certainty. Each level of certainty isassociated with a different certainty weighting factor. A certaintyweighting factor associated with a level of certainty of a matchingpattern in the database of patterns is applied to a confidence scoreassociated with a portion of evidence in which the matching pattern ispresent to generate a modified confidence score for the portion ofevidence. For example, if the level of certainty of the portion ofevidence is certain, then the corresponding certainty weighting factorincreases the confidence score associated with the portion of evidence.If the level of certainty of the portion of evidence is not certain,then the corresponding certainty weighting factor decreases theconfidence score associated with the portion of evidence. If the levelof certainty of the portion of evidence is undetermined certainty, thecorresponding certainty weighting factor does not modify the confidencescore associated with the portion of evidence.

As noted above, the evaluation of the link based on the intrinsiccertainty of the supporting evidence may be used when evaluating ahypothetical ontological link in an ontology for inclusion in theontology. This evaluation may be based on the knowledge output generatedfrom the evaluation of the intrinsic certainty terms, phrases, andtextual patterns in the supporting evidence. The evaluation of thehypothetical ontological link may be used to modify the ontology toinclude the hypothetical ontological link as an actual link in theontology in response to the knowledge output indicating the hypotheticalontological link to be a valid link between information concept objectsin the ontology.

Generating Different Lines of Questioning Based on Evaluation ofPrevious Line of Questioning

As mentioned above, another aspect of the present invention is that oncea hypothetical ontological link is determined to be sufficientlysupported by the evidence is the corpora 470 to warrant a modificationof the ontology 482 to include the hypothetical ontological link 412into the ontology 482 as an actual link, follow-up lines of questioningand hypothetical ontological links may be identified and evaluatedthrough the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments to therebygenerate new lines of questioning and potentially new links in theontology 482. Moreover, additional lines of questioning may be generatedin response to answers 434 received as a result of the processing of thequestion set 424, e.g., additional sub-links may be identified andevaluated. That is, an answer to a question in the question set 424 mayspawn one or more additional follow-up questions to be submitted to thehypothetical link evaluation pipeline 430 for evaluation and use ingenerating additional answers 434, confidence scores 436, and evidence438 for evaluation and scoring of the sub-links and hypotheticalontological link 412. This may include additional information conceptobjects 414 that may not have been previously subjects of the questionset 424, for example.

To give a more clear picture of a scenario in which these mechanisms mayoperate, consider a scenario in which the user is investigating arobbery of Al's Electronics and the user wishes to determine whetherJohn Smith and Jen Johnson robbed Al's Electronics. The user specifiesthe scenario as a hypothesis or question, e.g., “Did John Smith and JenJohnson rob Al's Electronics?” Thus, the scenario in question is Johnand Jen robbed Al's Electronics. The mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments generates an initial set of equation templates in the mannerdescribed previously and prunes the set of question templates togenerate a sub-set of question templates. The question templates in thesub-set of question templates are then used as a basis for populatinginstances of the question templates to thereby generate the question set424 for the particular scenario. The question set 424 is then applied bythe hypothetical link evaluation pipeline 430 to the corpora of evidenceto determine evidence that supports and/or refutes the scenario orhypothesis.

During the process of evaluating the pruned set of questions 424, assumethat evidence arises that John was present in Al's Electronics 2 daysprior to the robbery but Jen has never been to Al's Electronicsaccording to the set of evidence data. Thus, the original scenario inquestion, i.e. John and Jen robbing Al's Electronics, is likely to bedetermined to have lower evidential support since Jen has not visited toAl's Electronics.

However, through the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments, it maybe determined that there is an additional line of questioning that maybe generated as to whether John has other acquaintances that havevisited Al's Electronics on or about the time of the robbery since Johnwas present at Al's Electronics at a close time to the robbery but Jenwas not. Thus, a new line of questioning may be generated as to “Who areJohn's acquaintances?”, “Have any of John's acquaintances been to Al'sElectronics on or around the date of the robbery?”, “Did Johncommunicate with any of these acquaintances on or around the date of therobbery?”, etc. Therefore, while the original scenario may not haveinvolved these other acquaintances, the line of questioning has nowexpanded to encompass other concept entities that may not have beenoriginally included in the defined scenario. As a result, the scenarioitself is expanded by introducing new lines of questioning.

The additional lines of questioning may be determined based on linktypes that have a high relevance to the link type and activity of thehypothetical ontological link being evaluated. Moreover, additionallines of questioning may be determined based on information conceptsthat have a relevance to association with the particular link type andactivity of the hypothetical ontological link, e.g., an activity of a“robbery” involves “person” information concepts and “location”information concepts and thus, additional lines of questioning should beof the type that present questions regarding persons and locations andin particular the persons and/or locations associated with thehypothetical ontological link. Thus, the additional line of questioninglogic will take into consideration the particular scenario beingevaluated, the particular link type of the hypothetical ontological linkbeing evaluated, and the information concept types involved in thehypothetical ontological link.

In identifying the additional lines of questioning, question templatescorresponding to combinations of link types and information concepttypes related to the hypothetical ontological link are retrieved andpopulated with information regarding specific information conceptsassociated with the hypothetical ontological link. For example, if theoriginal hypothetical ontological link involves the information conceptfor “John”, then the information for the information concept “John” maybe used to populate an information concept object of the questiontemplate for the additional line of questioning. For example, in ascenario to establish complicit activities, a “knows” link for a personA to person B will trigger a set of communication and contact type linkquestions between person A and person B. Further if a location isinvolved, the set of questions generated would try to establish any linkbetween persons A and/or B with the specified location.

The actual identification of additional lines of questioning may bebased on configuration of the illustrative embodiment to identifyinformation concept types and link types that are highly correlated withinformation concept types and link types of the particular hypotheticalontological link, or sub-link, being evaluated. For example, the logicfor implementing the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may beconfigured to recognize that a person information concept type is mostoften (e.g., 90% of the time) linked with another person informationconcept type or location information concept type. Similarly, a linktype of “visits” may be most often linked with a location informationconcept type (e.g., 92% of the time) and to a lesser degree is linkedwith a person information concept type (e.g., 5% of the time) and anInternet address information concept type (e.g., 2% of the time).However, for a particular type of hypothetical ontological link andscenario involving wire fraud, the “visits” link type may instead belinked to an Internet address information concept type a majority of thetime (e.g., 80% of the time). These configuration parameters foridentifying highly correlated information concept types and link typesmay be learned over time using a machine learning approach, may bemanually entered by a subject matter expert, or any combination ofmachine learning and manual entry.

Having identified the highly correlated information concept and linktypes for the particular information concepts and hypotheticalontological link or sub-link being evaluated, for the set of highlycorrelated information concept types and link types, a similar approachas discussed above for the hypothetical ontological link may be followedto retrieve a set of question templates, prune the set of questiontemplates, populate fields of the question template with specificinformation from the particular highly correlated information conceptobjects and links, and process the resulting questions. Thus, mechanismsare provided for identifying and processing additional lines ofquestioning based on results generated by processing a previous set ofquestions directed to a particular link evaluation.

In other words, in accordance with one illustrative embodiment,mechanisms for generating different lines of questioning based on theevaluation of a previous line of questioning are provided that receive aset of evidential data specifying a plurality of concept entities andreceive input specifying a scenario to be evaluated by the dataprocessing system. The scenario specifies a hypothetical link between atleast two of the concept entities. The mechanisms evaluate a first setof questions corresponding to the at least two information conceptentities based on the set of evidential data and, based on results ofevaluating the first set of questions, automatically generate a secondset of questions to further expand upon and investigate the results ofevaluating the first set of questions. The mechanisms process the secondset of questions based on the set of evidential data and output anindication of the scenario and a corresponding measure of support for oragainst the scenario being a valid scenario involving the at least twoconcept entities based on results of evaluating the first set ofquestions and processing the second set of questions.

The second set of questions may be associated with one or more otherlinks related to the hypothetical link. The second set of questions maybe directed to at least one information concept entity different fromthe at least two information concept entities.

Automatically generating the second set of questions may compriseidentifying at least one of an follow-up information concept entity typethat is correlated with an information concept entity type of one of theat least two information concept entities, or a follow-up link type ofanother link that is correlated with a link type of the hypotheticallink. Moreover, generating the second set of questions may furthercomprise retrieving, from a question template data structure, a set ofquestion templates corresponding to the follow-up information conceptentity type or follow-up link type. In addition, generating the secondset of questions may comprise generating the second set of questionsbased on the retrieved set of question templates.

Identifying at least one of the follow-up information concept entitytype or follow-up link type may comprise using at least one of machinelearned or manually input configuration information specifying relatedinformation concept entity types and related link types. Automaticallygenerating the second set of questions may be performed in response tothe results of evaluating the first set of questions indicating that thehypothetical link has sufficient evidential support to be considered anactual link to be added to an ontology. Automatically generating thesecond set of questions may comprise evaluating the scenario, a linktype of the hypothetical link, and information concept types of the atleast two information concept entities to identify other informationconcept types and link types that are highly related to one or more ofthe scenario, the hypothetical link, or the at least two informationconcept entities.

Returning again to the basic operation of the illustrative embodiments,as noted above, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments evaluatethe hypothetical ontological links to generate a score for thehypothetical ontological links which represent a measure of confidenceor evidential support for the hypothetical ontological link being anactual link between information concepts in the ontology. The scoringtakes into consideration the characteristics of the particularhypothetical ontological link including the type of the link theparticular information concepts that are the subjects of the link, andthe like. Evidence supporting or refuting the link is found in thecorpus by processing a set of questions corresponding to these extractedfeatures of the hypothetical ontological link to generate queries thatare applied against the corpus to find evidence from the corpus thatmatches the queries. The resulting evidence is used to generate answersto the questions. In addition, in some illustrative embodiments, theevidence is collected for further evaluation when scoring thehypothetical ontological links based on the characteristics of theevidence and the characteristics of the particular hypotheticalontological links inferred by the evidence. That is, the evidencegathered by the QA system pipeline is further provided to the linkscoring and analyzer engine 440 for evaluation. The link scoring andanalyzer engine 440 not only combines the results of the answersgenerated from the various questions in the set of questions, but mayfurther analyze the evidence with regard to various characteristics,e.g., timing of the evidence, locations corresponding to the evidence,activities associated with the evidence, and the like, to therebycategorize the type of the hypothetical ontological link so as to morespecifically identify the type of link between the information concepts,e.g., person A “knows” person B on a “personal” basis or “professional”basis. The scoring of the sub-links that are aggregated to score thehypothetical ontological link, as well as the scoring of thehypothetical ontological link itself, may involve further evaluation ofthe supporting evidence with regard to grading of the sources of theevidence, corroboration, and certainty of the statements within theevidence.

To better illustrate the operation of the illustrative embodiments withregard to question generation for hypothetical ontological links,example scenarios are provided in FIGS. 5 and 6 illustratinghypothetical ontological link question generation in accordance with oneillustrative embodiment. FIG. 5 shows an example of hypotheticalontological link question generation with regard to an informationconcept of a person, John, with the hypothetical ontological link beinginvestigated being of the type “acquaintances.” As a result of thisinput, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments determine that forthe “acquaintance” type of hypothetical ontological link, associatedwith a person information concept, three possible hypotheticalontological sub-links are present including John calling another personinformation concept, John knowing another person information concept,and John visiting a particular location associated with another personinformation concept.

Corresponding question templates for these types of sub-links areretrieved based on the type of the sub-links and the type of theinformation concept, i.e. person information concept: John. Thus, forthe combination of the sub-link type “know” and the person informationconcept, the question templates “Does <Person A> know <Person B>?” and“What type of relationship does <Person A> have with <Person B>?” wherePerson A is John and Person B is other person information conceptswithin the ontology, e.g., person information concepts Paul and Mary inthe depicted example. Thus, instances of these questions are generatedfor each of the person information concepts Paul and Mary and submittedto a corresponding QA system pipeline for evaluation.

Similar to the above, question templates for the combination of thesub-link type “call” and the person information concept are retrieved.In the depicted example, this results in question templates of “Does<Person A> call <Person B>?” and “Does <Person B> call <Person A>?” Forthe combination of sub-link type “visit” and the person informationconcept, the question templates “Does <Person A> visit <Location A>?”and “How likely is <Person A> to visit <Location A>?” are retrieved.With these question templates, the Location A variable is replaced withlocations present in the ontology, such as Times Square in the depictedexample.

It should be noted that in the tables shown in FIGS. 5 and 6, the“route” column refers to the type of analysis required, e.g., simple orscenario. A simple analysis looks for direct evidential support for theparticular type of link, e.g., direct evidence is likely to exist foranswering the question “Does John call Mary?” in the form of telephonerecords or the like. However, other types of questions may require amore complex scoring and evidential support analysis to determine theanswer to the question, e.g., the question “What type of relationshipdoes John have with Mary?” will require that a variety of differentevidence and characteristics of the evidence be evaluated to answer thisquestion. Questions requiring more complex scoring and analysis arereferred to as having a “scenario” route whereas questions that willlikely have direct evidence for answering the question in the corpus arereferred to as having a “simple” route.

FIG. 6 shows an example of hypothetical ontological link questiongeneration with regard to an information concept of a location, TimesSquare. All valid hypothetical ontological links associated with thelocation and other information concepts in the ontology will beinvestigated and evaluated by the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments in response to the selection of the location informationconcept of Times Square. In this case, having selected an informationconcept that has the type of a “location”, various hypotheticalontological links between the location information concept and otherinformation concepts are identified. In this depicted example, varioushypothetical ontological links between the location and personinformation concepts are identified, e.g., a “visit” link, a “live”link, a “work” link, and a “call” link.

Corresponding question templates for these types of hypotheticalontological links are retrieved based on the type of the links and thetype of the information concept, i.e. location information concept:Times Square. Thus, for the combination of the link type “work” and thelocation information concept, the question templates “Does <Person A>work in <Location A>?” and “Who are the people that work in <LocationA>?” where Location A is Time Square and Person A is other personinformation concepts within the ontology, e.g., person informationconcepts John, Paul and Mary in the depicted example. In someillustrative embodiments, the set of question templates may comprise alarge number of question templates that cover a wide range of possibletypes of information concepts and hypothetical ontological links orsub-links. Hence, a pruning operation, such as discussed above, may beimplemented to prune the initial set of question templates into a set ofquestion templates for the particular information concept instances(objects) and hypothetical ontological link or sub-link being evaluated.

Instances of the question templates in the pruned set of questiontemplates are generated for each of the location information concept andperson information concepts John, Paul and Mary, where appropriate, andsubmitted to a corresponding QA system pipeline for evaluation, e.g., afirst instance of “Does John work in Times Square?” and a secondinstance of “Does Mary work in Time Square?” may be generated andevaluated by the QA system pipeline.

Similarly, question templates for the combination of the hypotheticalontological link type “call” and the person information concepts areretrieved. In the depicted example, this results in question templatesof “Does <Person A> call <Person B> in <Location A>?” and “Does <PersonB> call <Person A> in <Location A>?” For the combination of hypotheticalontological link type “visit” and the person information concept, thequestion templates “Does <Person A> visit <Location A>?” and “How likelyis <Person A> to visit <Location A>?” are retrieved. Moreover, for thehypothetical ontological link type of “live,” the question template of“Who are the people currently living in <Location A>?” is retrieved andused to submit a question to the QA system pipeline for evaluation.

It should be appreciated that in these examples shown in FIGS. 5 and 6,the questions are received from the question set database or repositorythat stores sets of questions in association with one or moreinformation concept types and/or hypothetical ontological link types.Thus, for a hypothetical ontological link type of “location” there maybe multiple sets of questions associated with this link type with eachset being associated with a different type of information concept, e.g.,a set of questions for person information concepts, a set of questionsfor event information concepts, etc. These sets of questions may bepresented as templates that have variables or fields that are populatedwith the actual information from the selection of information conceptand hypothetical ontological link type by the user or automatedhypothetical ontological link identification engine, and/or informationfrom the information concept objects and actual link objects in theontology.

FIGS. 7-10 are provided hereafter to further illustrate the operation ofthe one illustrative embodiment of the present invention with regard toa particular scenario. It should be appreciated that FIGS. 7-10 utilizea simplified ontology for purposes of illustration. In actuality,ontologies may be very complex having many different informationconcepts and linkages between information concepts that are identifiedand evaluated using the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments.FIGS. 7-10 are only intended to be examples and are not intended tostate or imply any limitation with regard to the manner in which themechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may be employed.

FIG. 7 is an example diagram illustrating a graphical representation ofa simplified ontology having actual links between information conceptsand a hypothetical ontological link for investigation by the mechanismsof the illustrative embodiments. As shown in FIG. 7, the ontology 700comprises a plurality of information concept objects 702-714 of varioustypes including locations, persons, and events. Various ontologicallinks 716-728 exist between these information concept objects. Thisontology 700 may be pre-constructed based on information already enteredinto the system to build the ontology 700 by specifying the variousinformation concept objects 702-714 and their attributes as well as theontological links 716-728 and their attributes including link type.

In the depicted example ontology 700, the person 704 “John” lives 716 atthe location 702 “East Street London.” The person 704 “John” also is anemployee 718 at the location 706 “Acme”. In addition, the person 708“Paul” is also an employee 720 at the location 706 “Acme”.

It is further noted that in this ontology 700, call events 712 and 714are indicated. It can be seen from the ontology 700 that the person 708“Paul” was involved with the person 704 “John” in an event 712 which wasa telephone call. The event 712 may have various attributes specifyingthe date and time of the call, duration of the call, the direction ofthe call (who called whom), and the like. This leads to links 722 and724 between the persons 704 and 708 with the event 712. Similarly,another person 710 “Mary” was involved in the event 714 with the person708 “Paul” leading to links 726 and 728.

With this ontology 700 as a starting point, assume that an analyst wantsto know whether the person 704 “John” knows the person 710 “Mary.” Itshould be noted that, in the ontology 700, there is no pre-existing linkbetween John 704 and Mary 710. Therefore, without investigating thehypothetical ontological link between John 704 and Mary 710, theontology 700 on its face indicates that John 704 does not know Mary 710.Thus, the analyst may input to the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments, a selection or specification of the person 704 “John” and aselection or specification of the person 710 “Mary”. The analyst mayalso specify that the hypothetical ontological link 730 that is beingasked about is of the type “knows.” As a result, various possiblesub-links between John 704 and Mary 710 may be identified as beingsub-links of the hypothetical ontological link 730, e.g., call link,visits link, knows link, works with link, etc. For each of thesepossible sub-links a set of question templates may be retrieved toevaluate using appropriately trained QA system pipelines. Forsimplicity, it is assumed that the questions in the question set thatare submitted to the trained QA system pipeline include the questions“Does John know Mary?”, “What type of relationship does John have withMary?”, “Does John work with Mary?”, and “Does John call Mary?”

These questions are submitted to the QA system pipelines and the answersto these questions, the confidence scores, and the underlying supportingevidence is returned. This information is provided to a link scoring andanalysis engine which evaluates the evidence and answers and generates ascore for the sub-link. For example, one feature of the hypotheticalontological link between John 704 and Mary 710 is whether John 704 callsor is called by Mary 710. Through evaluation of the question “Does Johncall Mary?” it may be determined that while John 704 does not directlycall Mary 710, John 704 does call Paul 708 directly and that Paul 708calls Mary 710 directly at approximately the same time, duration, and onmultiple occasions. This information may be collected by searchingthrough the corpus to find who John does call, and then find out who thepersons that John calls, in turn call. Correlating the telephone recordsin the corpus for such calls, the system may determine that atapproximately the same time on a plurality of occasions, there was acall from John to Paul at approximately the same time and duration as acall from Paul to Mary. This is an indication that while two separatephone calls are logged in the corpus, they may in fact have been asingle telephone conference conducted between John, Paul, and Mary.Thus, while the answer to the question “Does John call Mary?” may be“no” with a high confidence from analysis of the direct evidence withinthe corpus since there is no explicit evidence of an actual calldirectly from John to Mary, additional analysis by the link scoring andanalyzer engine may determine that there is circumstantial evidence thatsupports a change in the scoring of the sub-link that John calls Mary.

Similarly, analysis of the question “Does John work with Mary?” mayresult in an answer of “no” since Mary does not have a link to the Acmelocation 706 indicating that Mary is an employee of Acme. However, theremay be evidence in the corpus that Mary visited the Acme location 706 atsome time thereby indicating a stronger possibility that John knowsMary. Other similar evidence showing connections between John and Mary,or John with other information concepts to which Mary has a connectionas well, in the evidence of the corpus, may be evaluated and used togenerate a supporting evidence score for the various sub-links for thehypothetical ontological link that John knows Mary 730.

Thus, the link scoring and analyzer engine is configured with logic forlooking at various characteristics of the supporting evidence in thecorpus to determine if there is circumstantial evidence within thecorpus that supports or refutes the sub-links and the hypotheticalontological link. Each of the evaluations of these characteristics maybe combined to generate scores for the sub-links and then the scores forthe sub-links may be combined to generate a score for the hypotheticalontological link 730 between John 704 and Mary 710 indicating that John704 knows 730 Mary 710.

Moreover, the link scoring and analyzer engine may further evaluate theevidence with regard to the grading of the source of the evidence asdiscussed above with evidence coming from unreliable and/or non-crediblesources being effectively discounted while evidence from sources thatare reliable and credible being given greater weight. In addition, thelink scoring and analyzer engine may further evaluate the evidence forcorroboration from other sources of evidence and for certainty of theevidence based on the statements within the evidence itself. Each ofthese factors may be combined to modify the scoring of the evidence andultimately the sub-links and hypothetical ontological link, such as inthe manner previously discussed above.

FIG. 8 is an example diagram illustrating the example simplifiedontology of FIG. 7 with example scoring of the hypothetical ontologicallink in accordance with one illustrative embodiment. As with FIG. 7above, it should be appreciated that while these examples make referenceto “calls”, these are only examples and are not intended to state orimply any limitation as to the types of interactions between informationconcepts that may be investigated and evaluated using the mechanisms ofthe illustrative embodiments. For example, rather than concentrating oncall logs and information about telephone calls between persons as shownin the examples of FIGS. 7 and 8, other types of communications may besimilarly evaluated by the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments,e.g., chat sessions, instant messaging, electronic mail messaging, orthe like. Any type of communication correspondence that can havecharacteristics that may be evaluated by the mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments may be the subject of the analysis performed bythe mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments. Similarly, for othertypes of information concepts, any type of relationship havingcharacteristics that may be analyzed and evaluated using the mechanismsof the illustrative embodiments is intended to be within the spirit andscope of the illustrative embodiments.

As shown in FIG. 8, through analysis of the supporting evidenceretrieved when answering the questions associated with the sub-links,the link scoring and analysis engine determines various scores of thesub-links. For example, a first sub-link 810 may indicate that Johncalls Mary or Mary calls John. Through analysis of the telephone recordsin the corpus, it may be determined that John calls Paul and Paul callsMary at the same time such that there is a moderate degree of likelihoodthat John is in fact indirectly calling Mary. Based on variouscharacteristics of the evidence, e.g., time, frequency, duration, etc.of these calls, the numerical score for this link may be relatively highor low. For example, if such instances of indirect calling occurfrequently, at a same or similar time, and last a same or similarduration, or above a predetermined duration, then a higher scoreindicative of John calling Mary is generated. If the frequency, time,and duration are relatively low, e.g., this has happened only once inthe supporting evidence, then the score for the link indicative of Johncalling Mary will be relatively lower.

A second sub-link 820 may represent a relationship between John andMary. Supporting evidence indicative of a work relationship, e.g.working at the same location, a family relationship, e.g., Mary ismarried to Paul and Paul is John's brother, or other types of evidenceindicative of a friend, family, co-worker, or other type of relationshipmay be evaluated to generate a score for this second sub-link 820. Ifthere is little or no supporting evidence for a relationship of one ofthese types between John and Mary, then the score will be relatively lowwhile if there is strong evidence of a relationship, e.g., a marriagecertificate, ancestry information, birth certificate, etc., then thescore will be relatively high.

A third sub-link 830 may represent co-location of John and Mary. Forexample, supporting evidence may be provided that John is often seen atthe same location as Mary. For example, if the supporting evidence showsthat John was present at Acme 706 at the same time as Mary on a numberof occasions, then there is a relatively higher score that John and Maryare often co-located. However, if there is relatively little or noevidence that shows that John and Mary are present at Acme 706 at thesame time, then the score for this link may be relatively low.

For purposes of the depicted example, it is assumed that throughanalysis of telephone records in the corpus to identify supportingevidence for answering the question “Does John call Mary?” that strongevidence is found that, at least through an indirect manner via events712 and 714, that John does call Mary and thus, a score of 0.80 isattributed to sub-link 810. Similarly, through analysis of the corpus,e.g., employment records, birth certificates, marriage certificates, taxrecords, or any other source of information indicative of family,friend, co-worker, etc., relationships, it may be determined that thereis a relatively low amount of evidence indicating that John and Maryhave some sort of direct relationship and thus, the score for sub-link820 is 0.20. Moreover, through analysis of the corpus, e.g., GPS data,cellular network data, and the like, it may be determined that there isa relatively moderate amount of evidence indicating that John and Maryhave been present at the same location at approximately the same timeand thus, the score for sub-link 830 may be 0.50.

These scores may be combined using any suitable calculation, with eachother and/or with the confidence scores generated by the answering ofthe questions by the QA system pipeline, to generate a confidence scorefor the hypothetical ontological link 730 as a whole. For example, aweighted function of the confidence scores of the answers to the variousquestions, as well as the scores of the sub-links, may be utilized inwhich the weights for the various components of the calculation may belearned through training and machine learning or by way of humanintervention to set the weights. For example, higher weights may begiven to sub-links directed to actual relationships (family, friends,co-workers) between the persons, e.g., sub-link 820, with relativelylower weights being given to sub-links directed to co-location.Similarly, different weights may be given to the confidence scores ofanswers to different types of questions in the set of questions. Thus,for example, one may calculate an aggregate confidence score for thehypothetical ontological link 730 using the above scores for thesub-links 810-830 utilizing the following mathematical relationships:

$\begin{matrix}{( {\sum\limits_{i = 0}^{n}{f( k_{i} )}} )/j} & (1)\end{matrix}$In this relationship, n is the number of times a connection/link betweeninformation concept A and B are initiated, i is a particular linknumber, j is a number of link scores, and f(ki) is the link score forlink i.

To further explain this relationship, assume that d is a duration of theinteraction or connection/link between information concept A andinformation concept B, with n being the number of times theconnection/link is initiated. Further assume that 1 is the type ofinteraction or connection/link, s is the simultaneous occurrence of theconnection/link, t is the time of day, r is the direction of theconnection/link from information concept A to information concept B(e.g., a call), and c is the direction of the connection/link frominformation concept B to information concept A (e.g., a callback). Aduration score f(ds)=d*f(t), where f(t) is a normalizing function basedon the connection/link type 1 and the time of day t.

Let Ti be the time of day assigned value, where Ti is designated basedon ranges in the day, e.g., 7-12 a.m. (morning) value=5; 12-5 p.m.(afternoon) value=6; 5-9 p.m. (evening) value=8; 9 p.m.-12 a.m. (night)value=12; 12 a.m.-7 a.m. (early morning) value=15. Let f(lt) be a factorbased on the link type 1 for time of day t. This is pulled from amapping table. For example, for a link type 1=Telephone call, thefollowing f(lt) factors may be utilized:

f(lt)=0.25 where t is morning

f(lt)=0.40 where t is afternoon

f(lt)=1.20 where t is evening

f(lt)=1.7 where t is night

f(lt)=2.0 where t is early morning

The normalizing function f(t) may be set equal to the value of Ti*f(lt).In this example, the direction of interaction score f(i)=sum of r (0.25load factor)+Sum of c (1.25 load factor when callback).

Using these relations, a link score may be determined as the sum of thenumber of connections/links, normalized by the time of day per linktype, plus the sum of the duration score and the sum of the simultaneousoccurrence score, normalized by the link type factor, plus the number ofconnections/links per direction normalized by the link type factor, plusthe direction interaction score:

Link Score f(k)=(Sum of n)/f(t)+[f(ds)+Sum of s]/f(lt)+Sum ofr/[2*f(lt)]+f(i), also written as equation (2) below:(Σn)/ƒ(t)+[ƒ(ds)+Σs]/ƒ(lt)+(Σr)/(2*ƒ(lt))+ƒ(i)  (2)

Now, letting j be the number of link scores and f(k) be each link score,aggregating the link scores, e.g., (\sum f(k))/j, one obtains theaggregate of the links as noted above in equation (1).

In addition, the aggregate confidence score associated with thehypothetical ontological link may take into consideration factors ofsource grading, corroboration, and certainty in the evidence supportingthe sub-links and hypothetical ontological links as discussed above.Thus, the scoring of particular sub-links 810-830 may be modified basedon the veracity of the sources of the evidence supporting/refuting thesesub-links 810-830, the intrinsic certainty of the evidencesupporting/refuting these sub-links 810-830, and the corroboration ofthe facts/conclusions specified in the evidence by other evidence. Basedon the source grading and corroboration of information, a follow upquestion may be generated to gather more information on the sub-linksdue to the source. An unreliable source Z may trigger a different lineof questioning where the source will be guaranteed to be different fromsource Z. For example, a parking ticket violation correspondence forperson A provides evidence that person A visited a location X, howeverthat source is unreliable as someone else may drive the car. This willtrigger a different line of questioning of person A performing anactivity of a type of link that will be more reliable. For example, aquestion directed to whether person A patronizes the location X withinthe same timeframe, looking for evidence of credit card payments at thelocation X, or the like. Further, person A may have made a call fromlocation X and thus, questions directed to whether person A was involvedin a call while at location X may be identified and used to findevidence to further confirm they used their personal phone at locationX. Other related lines of questioning may further be identified forobtaining evidence that tends to support or refute the hypotheticalontological link without departing from the spirit and scope of theillustrative embodiments.

FIG. 9 is an example diagram illustrating a graphical output of amodified ontology generated in response to the scoring of thehypothetical ontological link in accordance with one illustrativeembodiment. As shown in FIG. 9, due to a comparison of the aggregateconfidence score for the hypothetical ontological link 730 to apre-determined threshold indicative of a minimum confidence score (e.g.,0.6) for inclusion of the hypothetical ontological link 730 as an actuallink in the ontology 700, the hypothetical ontological link 730 isconverted to an actual link 910 in the modified or updated ontology 900.The resulting ontology 900 may be presented to a user via a graphicaluser interface or other output indicating the ontology 900 and providinga user interface through which a user may view the supporting evidenceand features of the various links between information concept objects inthe ontology 900. Thus, for example, a user may select the newly addedlink 910 and be presented with information 920 indicating the aggregateconfidence score for the link 910, the component scores that were usedto generate the aggregate confidence score, as well as user interfaceelements for viewing the supporting evidence 930 or at least statisticsregarding the supporting evidence 930 giving rise to the variouscomponents of the aggregate confidence score. In the depicted example,the user selects the “calls” sub-link, e.g., by selecting the GUI boxnext to the sub-link, and selects the “View Evidence” GUI button to viewthe supporting evidence 930 that shows a listing of calls and theirattributes, e.g., time of day, duration, direction of call, etc., thatprovide supporting evidence for the scoring of the sub-link “calls”. Itshould be appreciated that various and multiple levels of drilling downinto the data used as a basis for generating the new link 910 may beprovided.

As mentioned above, a hypothetical ontological link may be comprised ofa plurality of sub-links of various types. In addition the evidencesupporting these various types of sub-links and hypothetical ontologicallinks may provide additional evidence for categorizing the links intoone of a plurality of different categories for the particular type oflink. Taking the “relationship” sub-link 820 discussed above, the resultof the evaluation of this sub-link 820 may indicate that there is arelationship between John and Mary, for example. However, in addition tosimply determining that there is a relationship, the type ofrelationship may also be determined and used to categorize the sub-link820. For example, the relationships may be of various categories such as“co-worker”, “family”, or “friend” and various types of evidence may beused to evaluate the likelihood that the relationship is one of thesevarious categories. The category may then be associated with thesub-link 820 and the hypothetical ontological link 730 such that thecategory may be presented to the user along with the ontology, such aswhen the user drills down into the characteristics of the link 910 tosee the underlying supporting evidence, confidence scores, and the like.For example, the user may click on the link 910 and be presented withinformation about sub-links 810-830. Amongst this sub-link informationmay be the categories associated with these sub-links, e.g.,relationship link 820 is a family relationship between John and Mary dueto supporting evidence including a marriage certificate between Mary andPaul and ancestry information indicating that Paul is the brother ofJohn.

It should be noted that various types of circumstantial evidence may beevaluated to determine a category of a link or sub-link. The evaluationof the combination of this circumstantial evidence may give rise to afinal determination as to the category from amongst a plurality ofpossible categories.

FIG. 10 is an example diagram illustrating an example scenario forevaluating various characteristics of links for categorizing a linkhypothetical ontological link between information concept entities. Asshown in FIG. 10, through analysis of a corpus of evidence informationwhen investigating a hypothetical ontological link between Fred andWilma, it may be determined that there are 40 instances in the corpus ofevidential information where Fred 1010 calls Wilma 1020 and 130instances of Wilma 1020 calling Fred 1010. In addition, the evidence mayindicate that the average duration of calls from Fred 1010 to Wilma 1020is approximately 25 minutes. Similarly, the average duration of callsfrom Wilma 1020 to Fred 1010 30 minutes. Moreover, it may be determinedthrough analysis of the evidence in the corpus that Fred 1010 callsWilma 1020 during the day 32 times but calls Wilma 1020 during thenighttime only 8 times. Furthermore, it may be determined that Wilma1020 calls Fred 1010 during night time hours 60 times and during daytimehours 70 times.

The evidence may be scored to determine a likelihood that therelationship between Fred and Wilma is either a family relationship,co-worker relationship, or a friend (acquaintance) relationship, i.e.the evidence may be scored to determine a category of the hypotheticalontological link between Fred and Wilma. The scoring may look at thepattern of evidence to evaluate the nature of the evidence. For example,since it appears that Wilma calls Fred approximately the same amount oftimes during day and nighttime hours, Fred calls Wilma mostly during theday, that there is relatively frequent calls between Fred and Wilma, andthat the calls last approximately the same amount of time going eitherdirection, that more likely the relationship between Fred and Wilma isone of a friend or acquaintance. If the occurrence of calls from Wilmato Fred mostly happened during the daytime hours it may be moreindicative of a family relationship. Other types of patterns may beevaluated to identify other types of categories of relationships betweenpersons. For example, in some illustrative embodiments, call patterns ata fixed scheduled time, day and duration may be determined to indicate aprofessional relationship type, including evaluations as to whether thecall patterns are present during the day time, or day time of at leastone of the participant's time zones. A frequent sporadic, lengthyduration for a call is likely indicative of a personal relationshiptype, especially if some of those calls is outside the normal work hoursfor the information concepts. Short or long very infrequent calls orcommunications during normal hours and weekends may be indicative ofacquaintances, where “infrequent” may be once every two to three weeksor a month depending on the information concepts involved. Essentially,any definable pattern that may be identified in the evidence may becorrelated with a particular category of link between informationconcepts. The resulting category identification may then be associatedwith the corresponding link or sub-link and returned with results whenevaluating the hypothetical ontological link.

Thus, the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments provide facilitiesfor identifying hypothetical ontological links, evaluating thesehypothetical ontological links with regard to evidence provided withinone or more corpora, and modifying an ontology based on the evaluationof the hypothetical ontological links. In addition, notifications of theresults of such evaluations may be presented to a user so that the useris informed of newly discovered relationships between informationconcepts within an ontology for use in determining areas of furtherinvestigation.

The mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments may be implemented inmany different domains. In some illustrative embodiments, the mechanismsof the illustrative embodiments are implemented in the domain ofintelligence gathering and crime investigation. For example, lawenforcement personnel may utilize the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments to input an ontology representing one or more events,locations, suspects, witnesses, known associates of suspects andwitnesses, weapons used during the crime, tools used during the crime,or any other information concept that represents information about thecrime under investigation. The resulting ontology may then be used as asource of input to the mechanisms of the illustrative embodiments forthe law enforcement personnel to investigate various theories orscenarios regarding the crime to thereby identify hypotheticalontological links between the information concepts in the ontology,e.g., suspect A committed the robbery of Al's Electronics. From thetheory or scenario, various possible sub-links of the hypotheticalontological link of suspect A committing the robbery of Al'sElectronics, may be identified and used as a basis for selecting sets ofquestions to be submitted to the QA system pipelines for evaluation.Moreover, characteristics of the information concept objects themselvesmay be utilized, e.g., questions regarding the robbery of an electronicsstore may have different templates than questions regarding thecyber-robbery of a bank since physical assets are generally the targetin the former and electronic assets are the target in the latter.

The questions may be evaluated based on a large corpus or set of corporarepresenting various sources of information useful for criminalinvestigations. This is a wide range of possible information sourcesincluding criminal records, residency information, location information,communication information, bank records, vehicle registration andlocation information, or any other source of information that a criminalinvestigator may generally look to for gathering information aboutpersons, locations, or events associated with a crime. Based onevaluation of the questions using the evidence information obtained fromthe one or more corpora, various links between information concepts,e.g., suspects, witnesses, locations, events, etc., may be identifiedand scored. These links may then be evaluated to determine an aggregatescore for the hypothetical ontological link that suspect A committed therobbery of Al's Electronics. The result of this evaluation may benotified to the criminal investigator along with a graphical userinterface representing the ontology that allows the criminalinvestigator to drill down into the supporting evidence and scoresassociated with the links, sub-links, and the like. Moreover, thecategorization of the links may also be viewed. Thus, for example, itmay not have been previously known that suspect A is related to witnessB and thus, now that it is known through evaluation by the mechanisms ofthe illustrative embodiments, the statements made by witness B may bebrought into question as to their veracity.

Other uses and implementations of the mechanisms of the illustrativeembodiments will become apparent to those of ordinary skill in the artin view of the present description. Any implementation of the mechanismsof the illustrative embodiments to identify and evaluate a hypotheticalontological link in a given ontology is intended to be within the spiritand scope of the present invention.

FIG. 11 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for identifyingand evaluating hypothetical ontological links in an ontology inaccordance with one illustrative embodiment. As shown in FIG. 11, theoperation starts with the receipt of an ontology (step 1110). Theontology may be built using any suitable data input mechanism fordefining information concept objects and their associations (or links).For example, a graphical user interface may be provided that providesone or more interfaces through which a user may define various types ofinformation concept objects, e.g., persons, places, things, events,etc., and various types of linkages between information concept objects.

An indication of at least one of an information concept object and atype of hypothetical ontological link to be investigated is received(step 1120). This indication may be received via user input or throughan automated mechanism that analyzes the ontology and identifiespossible hypothetical ontological links for further evaluation. Forexample, in one illustrative embodiment, the user may be presented witha graphical representation of the ontology and may select one or moreinformation concept objects from the graphical representation of theontology for use in evaluating hypothetical ontological links associatedwith the selected one or more information concept objects. Moreover, theuser may select, such as from a menu of options, the type ofhypothetical ontological link associated with the one or moreinformation concept objects that the user wishes to further investigateor evaluate. Alternatively, an automated mechanism may determine theseinputs through analysis and determination of probabilities of linkagesbetween information concept objects based on the actual linkages presentin the ontology, e.g., if person A has a link to person B and person Bhas a link to person C, then there is a probability that person A isalso linked to person C in some way.

The types of the identified information concept object(s) andhypothetical ontological link are determined (step 1130) and one or moresets of question templates are retrieved from the question templatedatabase or repository based on the determined types (step 1140). Itshould be noted that in retrieving the one or more sets of questiontemplates, the hypothetical ontological link may be correlated to one ormore sub-links having their own identifiable types and a separate set ofquestion templates may be retrieved for each of the sub-links. Thus, forexample, if the hypothetical ontological link is of the type “knows”,then sub-links of “calls”, “visits,” “knows”, “is related to”, and thelike may be identified and corresponding sets of question templatesretrieved.

The fields of the question templates are populated with information fromthe ontology to generate instances of the question templates which arethen submitted to appropriately trained QA system pipelines for answergeneration, confidence measure calculation, and supporting evidenceretrieval (step 1150). The resulting answers to the questions, theirconfidence measures, and supporting evidence are received (step 1160)and evaluated to generate scores for each of the sub-links (if any) ofthe hypothetical ontological link (step 1170). An aggregate confidencescore for the hypothetical ontological link is then calculated based onthe scores for each of the sub-links (if any) (step 1180). The aggregateconfidence score is compared to a predetermined threshold to determineif modification of the ontology is warranted (step 1190) and if so, thenthe ontology is modified or updated to reflect that the hypotheticalontological link is an actual link within the ontology (step 1192) andappropriate notification and user interface output is generated for theuser to interact with a representation of the modified ontology toobtain additional information regarding the hypothetical ontologicallink and its place within the ontology (step 1194). The operation thenterminates.

FIG. 12 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for scoringsupporting evidence for a link in accordance with one illustrativeembodiment. The operation outlined in FIG. 12 may be implemented, forexample, by the link scoring and analyzer engine 440 in FIG. 4, forexample. As shown in FIG. 12, the operation starts with receivingsupporting evidence for answers to a set of questions for a evaluating ahypothetical ontological link (step 1210). The sources of the supportingevidence are graded based on a determination of their reliability andcredibility (step 1220). The supporting evidence is further evaluated todetermine if there is other supporting evidence of other sources thatcorroborate the evidence (step 1230). The supporting evidence is furtherevaluated to identify intrinsic statements of certainty, or lack thereof(step 1240). The confidence scores for the sub-links and/or hypotheticalontological link are modified according to the results of evaluating thesource grading, the corroboration of the evidence, and the intrinsiccertainty of the evidence (step 1250). The corpora may then be modifiedto add or remove content based on the grading of the sources (step 1260)and follow-up lines of questioning are identified and evaluated whereappropriate (step 1270). The operation then terminates.

FIG. 13 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingquestion template set pruning in accordance with one illustrativeembodiment. As shown in FIG. 13, the operation starts with the retrievalof an initial set of question templates for the hypothetical ontologicallink based on an evaluation of the link type and information concepttypes (step 1310). Characteristics of the hypothetical ontological linkand information concept objects are compared to the characteristicsassociated with the templates in the initial set of question templates(step 1320). For each question template in the set of questiontemplates, a degree of matching is calculated for specifying how closelythe characteristics of the hypothetical ontological link and informationconcept objects match the characteristics of the question template (step1330). Then, for each question template, the degree of matching iscompared to a selection threshold value to determine if the degree ofmatching meets or exceeds the selection threshold value (step 1340).

Those question templates whose degree of matching value meets or exceedsthe selection threshold value are included in a selected subset ofquestion templates (step 1350). The selected subset of questiontemplates are then populated with information from the hypotheticalontological link and information concept objects to generate actualquestions that are evaluated to evaluate the hypothetical ontologicallink (step 1360). The operation then terminates.

FIG. 14 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingsource grading in accordance with one illustrative embodiment. As shownin FIG. 14, the operation starts by collecting characteristicsinformation for a source (step 1410). The characteristics of the sourceare stored in a source profile of a source directory in association witha source identifier (step 1420). The characteristics of the source areevaluated to generate a grading and weight value associated with thesource (step 1430). The grading and weight values are stored inassociation with the source profile (step 1440). The source weight valueis output to the scoring logic for use in modifying scores associatedwith evidence from the source (step 1450). The grading of the source isused to modify a corpus of evidence by either expanding, reducing, ormaintaining an amount of evidence from the source that is part of thecorpus of evidence (step 1460). The operation then terminates.

FIG. 15 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingcorroboration scoring in accordance with one illustrative embodiment. Asshown in FIG. 15, the operation starts by selecting a plurality ofnatural language evidential text portions that support/refute ahypothetical ontological link (step 1510). The evidential text portionsare compared to generate equivalency values for each evidential textportion indicative of a level of equivalency between the evidential textportions with regard to the facts/conclusions specified in theevidential text portions (step 1520). The equivalency values arecompared to first and second thresholds to select a subset of naturallanguage evidential text portions whose equivalency values meet orexceed a first threshold indicative of corroboration of the evidence butdo not exceed a second threshold indicative of a copying of evidence(step 1530).

The subset of natural language evidential text portions are furtherevaluated with regard to source grading, relevance of the evidentialtext portions to the hypothetical ontological link, source type, andtime proximity (step 1540). The equivalency values associated with thenatural language text portions in the subset are modified based on theevaluation in step 1540 to generate modified equivalency values (step1550). A corroboration score is calculated for each evidential textportion based on the modified equivalency value corresponding to theevidential text portion (step 1560). The corroboration scores for theevidential text portions are output for use in generating answer resultsfor questions in the set of questions used to evaluate the hypotheticalontological link (step 1570). The operation then terminates.

FIG. 16 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingcertainty scoring in accordance with one illustrative embodiment. Asshown in FIG. 16, the operation starts with receiving a portion ofnatural language evidential text (step 1610). Natural languageprocessing (NLP) operations are performed on the text to identify textpatterns within the text indicative of a level of certainty (step 1620).A level of certainty for the evidential text portion is determined basedon results of the NLP operations (step 1630). The score associated withthe evidential text portion is modified based on the level of certaintyof the evidential text portion to generate a modified score for theevidential text portion (step 1640). The modified score for theevidential text portion is output to the scoring logic for use inevaluating answers to questions in the set of questions used to evaluatethe hypothetical ontological link (step 1650). The operation thenterminates.

FIG. 17 is a flowchart outlining an example operation for performingadditional lines of questioning evaluations in accordance with oneillustrative embodiment. As shown in FIG. 17, the operation starts byevaluating an answer to a question in a set of questions used toevaluate the hypothetical ontological link (step 1710). A newinformation concept object indicated in the answer to the question isidentified (step 1720). A new hypothetical ontological link for the newinformation concept object is generated (step 1730). A set of questiontemplates corresponding to the new hypothetical ontological link isretrieved (step 1740) and used to evaluate the new hypotheticalontological link in a similar manner as previously described above (step1750). The operation then terminates.

As noted above, it should be appreciated that the illustrativeembodiments may take the form of an entirely hardware embodiment, anentirely software embodiment or an embodiment containing both hardwareand software elements. In one example embodiment, the mechanisms of theillustrative embodiments are implemented in software or program code,which includes but is not limited to firmware, resident software,microcode, etc.

A data processing system suitable for storing and/or executing programcode will include at least one processor coupled directly or indirectlyto memory elements through a system bus. The memory elements can includelocal memory employed during actual execution of the program code, bulkstorage, and cache memories which provide temporary storage of at leastsome program code in order to reduce the number of times code must beretrieved from bulk storage during execution.

Input/output or I/O devices (including but not limited to keyboards,displays, pointing devices, etc.) can be coupled to the system eitherdirectly or through intervening I/O controllers. Network adapters mayalso be coupled to the system to enable the data processing system tobecome coupled to other data processing systems or remote printers orstorage devices through intervening private or public networks. Modems,cable modems and Ethernet cards are just a few of the currentlyavailable types of network adapters.

The description of the present invention has been presented for purposesof illustration and description, and is not intended to be exhaustive orlimited to the invention in the form disclosed. Many modifications andvariations will be apparent to those of ordinary skill in the artwithout departing from the scope and spirit of the describedembodiments. The embodiment was chosen and described in order to bestexplain the principles of the invention, the practical application, andto enable others of ordinary skill in the art to understand theinvention for various embodiments with various modifications as aresuited to the particular use contemplated. The terminology used hereinwas chosen to best explain the principles of the embodiments, thepractical application or technical improvement over technologies foundin the marketplace, or to enable others of ordinary skill in the art tounderstand the embodiments disclosed herein.

What is claimed is:
 1. A method, in a data processing system comprisinga processor and a memory, the memory comprising instructions executed bythe processor to cause the processor to be specifically configured toimplement a hypothetical ontological link identification and evaluationengine, for evaluating a link between information concept entities,comprising: receiving, by the hypothetical ontological linkidentification and evaluation engine implemented by the data processingsystem, an ontology data structure based on a set of evidential dataspecifying a plurality of information concept entities and valid linksrepresenting known relationships between the information conceptentities that are directly identified by direct evidence in the set ofevidential data; generating, by the hypothetical ontological linkidentification and evaluation engine, a hypothetical ontological linkbetween at least two information concept entities in the ontology datastructure, wherein the hypothetical link is a link that does not havedirect evidence in the evidential data directly identifying a directlink between the at least two information concept entities; evaluating,by the hypothetical ontological link identification and evaluationengine, the set of evidential data with regard to whether or notindirect evidence in the set of evidential data supports or refutesexistence of the hypothetical ontological link, wherein the evaluationof the set of evidential data comprises analyzing language of naturallanguage statements in the set of evidential data to identify certaintyterms within the natural language statements; calculating, by thehypothetical ontological link identification and evaluation engine, aconfidence value for the hypothetical ontological link based on resultsof the evaluation of the set of evidential data; and modifying, by thehypothetical ontological link identification and evaluation engine, theontology data structure to include the hypothetical ontological link asa new valid link in the ontology data structure in response to theknowledge output indicating the hypothetical ontological link to be avalid link between the at least two information concept objects in theontology data structure.
 2. The method of claim 1, wherein the certaintyterms comprise first-hand account terms or phrases indicative of afirst-hand account being specified in the evidential data, and whereincalculating the confidence value for the hypothetical ontological linkbased on results of the evaluation of the set of evidential datacomprises increasing a confidence value for the hypothetical ontologicallink in response to detecting first-hand account terms or phrases in theevidential data.
 3. The method of claim 1, wherein the certainty termscomprise hedging terms or phrases indicative of a lack of certainty inthe facts or conclusion specified in the evidential data, and whereincalculating the confidence value for the hypothetical ontological linkbased on results of the evaluation of the set of evidential datacomprises decreasing a confidence value for the hypothetical ontologicallink in response to detecting hedging terms or phrases in the evidentialdata.
 4. The method of claim 1, wherein the data processing systemcomprises a database of patterns of certainty terms and phrases, andwherein each pattern in the database is associated with a correspondinglevel of certainty, and wherein evaluating the set of evidential datacomprises matching patterns of terms or phrases in the evidential datato corresponding patterns in the database of patterns.
 5. The method ofclaim 4, wherein the level of certainty for each of the patterns in thedatabase is one of the following levels of certainty: certain, notcertain, or undetermined certainty, and wherein each level of certaintyis associated with a different certainty weighting factor, and wherein acertainty weighting factor associated with a level of certainty of amatching pattern in the database of patterns is applied to a confidencescore associated with a portion of evidence in which the matchingpattern is present to generate a modified confidence score for theportion of evidence.
 6. The method of claim 5, wherein: if the level ofcertainty of the portion of evidence is certain, then the correspondingcertainty weighting factor increases the confidence score associatedwith the portion of evidence, if the level of certainty of the portionof evidence is not certain, then the corresponding certainty weightingfactor decreases the confidence score associated with the portion ofevidence, and if the level of certainty of the portion of evidence isundetermined certainty, the corresponding certainty weighting factordoes not modify the confidence score associated with the portion ofevidence.
 7. The method of claim 1, wherein evaluating the set ofevidential data with regard to whether or not indirect evidence in theset of evidential data supports or refutes existence of the hypotheticalontological link, comprises automatically generating one or morequestions for processing by a question answer (QA) system based on firsttype characteristics of the at least two information concept entitiesand a second type characteristic of the hypothetical ontological link,wherein the QA system processes the one or more questions using a corpusof evidence data comprising the set of evidential data to generateanswers to the one or more questions that are a basis for determiningwhether the set of evidential data supports or refutes existence of thehypothetical ontological link.
 8. The method of claim 7, whereinautomatically generating one or more questions for processing by the QAsystem comprises: retrieving a set of question templates from a questiontemplate repository; pruning the set of question templates to a sub-setof question templates based on at least one of the first typecharacteristics or second type characteristic; and evaluating the set ofevidential data at least by processing, by the QA system, the sub-set ofquestion templates to identify evidence in the set of evidential datathat support or refutes the hypothetical ontological link.
 9. The methodof claim 1, wherein evaluating the set of evidential data with regard towhether or not indirect evidence in the set of evidential data supportsor refutes existence of the hypothetical ontological link comprisesevaluating, for each portion of evidential data in the set of evidentialdata, a veracity measure of a source of the portion of evidential data,and wherein the veracity of the source is evaluated based oncharacteristics of the type of the source and an input specifying alevel of trust a user of the data processing system has for the source.10. The method of claim 1, wherein portions of evidence associated withsources having veracity measures that do not meet or exceed apredetermined minimum acceptable level of veracity are either removedfrom further consideration when evaluating the set of evidential data orhave associated weights values that are relatively lower than otherportions of evidence associated with sources having veracity measuresthat do meet or exceed the predetermined minimum acceptable level ofveracity.
 11. The method of claim 1, wherein evaluating the set ofevidential data with regard to whether or not indirect evidence in theset of evidential data supports or refutes existence of the hypotheticalontological link further comprises evaluating evidence supporting thehypothetical ontological link for corroborating evidence in the set ofevidential data, wherein a confidence measure indicating thehypothetical ontological link to be a valid link is increased if thecorroborating evidence is positive and the confidence measure indicatingthe hypothetical ontological link to be a valid link is decreased if thecorroborating evidence is negative.
 12. The method of claim 1, furthercomprising: outputting, by the hypothetical ontological linkidentification and evaluation engine, a notification of the modificationto the ontology data structure to a user via a computing device.
 13. Themethod of claim 12, wherein the notification comprises a graphicalrepresentation of the modified ontology data structure graphicallyindicating the hypothetical ontological link as a valid link in theontology and providing a drill-down functionality to drill-down into thegraphical representation to obtain an output of evidence, in the set ofevidential data, that supports the hypothetical ontological link asbeing a valid link.
 14. A computer program product comprising anon-transitory computer readable medium having a computer readableprogram stored therein, wherein the computer readable program, whenexecuted on a data processing system, causes the data processing systemto be specifically configured to implement a hypothetical ontologicallink identification and evaluation engine that operates to: receive anontology data structure based on a set of evidential data specifying aplurality of information concept entities and valid links representingknown relationships between the information concept entities that aredirectly identified by direct evidence in the set of evidential data;generate a hypothetical ontological link between at least twoinformation concept entities in the ontology data structure, wherein thehypothetical link is a link that does not have direct evidence in theevidential data directly identifying a direct link between the at leasttwo information concept entities; evaluate the set of evidential datawith regard to whether or not indirect evidence in the set of evidentialdata supports or refutes existence of the hypothetical ontological link,wherein the evaluation of the set of evidential data comprises analyzinglanguage of natural language statements in the set of evidential data toidentify certainty terms within the natural language statements;calculate a confidence value for the hypothetical ontological link basedon results of the evaluation of the set of evidential data; and modifythe ontology data structure to include the hypothetical ontological linkas a new valid link in the ontology data structure in response to theknowledge output indicating the hypothetical ontological link to be avalid link between the at least two information concept objects in theontology data structure.
 15. The computer program product of claim 14,wherein the certainty terms comprise first-hand account terms or phrasesindicative of a first-hand account being specified in the evidentialdata, and wherein the computer readable program causes the computingdevice to calculate the confidence value for the hypotheticalontological link based on results of the evaluation of the set ofevidential data at least by increasing a confidence value for thehypothetical ontological link in response to detecting first-handaccount terms or phrases in the evidential data.
 16. The computerprogram product of claim 14, wherein the certainty terms comprisehedging terms or phrases indicative of a lack of certainty in the factsor conclusion specified in the evidential data, and wherein the computerreadable program causes the computing device to calculate the confidencevalue for the hypothetical ontological link based on results of theevaluation of the set of evidential data at least by decreasing aconfidence value for the hypothetical ontological link in response todetecting hedging terms or phrases in the evidential data.
 17. Thecomputer program product of claim 14, wherein the data processing systemcomprises a database of patterns of certainty terms and phrases, andwherein each pattern in the database is associated with a correspondinglevel of certainty, and wherein evaluating the set of evidential datacomprises matching patterns of terms or phrases in the evidential datato corresponding patterns in the database of patterns.
 18. The computerprogram product of claim 17, wherein the level of certainty for each ofthe patterns in the database is one of the following levels ofcertainty: certain, not certain, or undetermined certainty, and whereineach level of certainty is associated with a different certaintyweighting factor, and wherein a certainty weighting factor associatedwith a level of certainty of a matching pattern in the database ofpatterns is applied to a confidence score associated with a portion ofevidence in which the matching pattern is present to generate a modifiedconfidence score for the portion of evidence.
 19. The computer programproduct of claim 18, wherein: if the level of certainty of the portionof evidence is certain, then the corresponding certainty weightingfactor increases the confidence score associated with the portion ofevidence, if the level of certainty of the portion of evidence is notcertain, then the corresponding certainty weighting factor decreases theconfidence score associated with the portion of evidence, and if thelevel of certainty of the portion of evidence is undetermined certainty,the corresponding certainty weighting factor does not modify theconfidence score associated with the portion of evidence.
 20. Anapparatus comprising: a processor; and a memory coupled to theprocessor, wherein the memory comprises instructions which, whenexecuted by the processor, cause the processor to be specificallyconfigured to implement a hypothetical ontological link identificationand evaluation engine that operates to: receive an ontology datastructure based on a set of evidential data specifying a plurality ofinformation concept entities and valid links representing knownrelationships between the information concept entities that are directlyidentified by direct evidence in the set of evidential data; generate ahypothetical ontological link between at least two information conceptentities in the ontology data structure, wherein the hypothetical linkis a link that does not have direct evidence in the evidential datadirectly identifying a direct link between the at least two informationconcept entities; evaluate the set of evidential data with regard towhether or not indirect evidence in the set of evidential data supportsor refutes existence of the hypothetical ontological link, wherein theevaluation of the set of evidential data comprises analyzing language ofnatural language statements in the set of evidential data to identifycertainty terms within the natural language statements; calculate aconfidence value for the hypothetical ontological link based on resultsof the evaluation of the set of evidential data; and modify the ontologydata structure to include the hypothetical ontological link as a newvalid link in the ontology data structure in response to the knowledgeoutput indicating the hypothetical ontological link to be a valid linkbetween the at least two information concept objects in the ontologydata structure.